Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.773.18safe1.44–3.380.00–1.621.35–5.00safer1.19–3.630.00–1.850.87–5.48
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.813.109.91safe4.95–8.671.35–4.846.30–13.51safer4.46–9.160.89–5.305.35–14.47
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction18.619.7328.34safe14.69–22.546.17–13.2920.86–35.83safer13.60–23.635.21–14.2518.81–37.88
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.375.8218.19safe9.42–15.313.14–8.5012.57–23.81safer8.59–16.142.40–9.2411.00–25.38
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.412.727.13safe2.53–6.301.07–4.373.60–10.67safer1.99–6.840.57–4.862.56–11.70
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.103.4610.56safe4.89–9.311.46–5.466.35–14.77safer4.31–9.890.93–5.995.24–15.88
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.0842.68safe50.29–63.8735.89–49.46safer48.62–65.5434.22–51.13
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction550392942safe483–617326–459808–1076safer465–635308–476773–1112
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction68.4267.46safe64.39–72.4563.14–71.78safer63.10–73.7461.83–73.09
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9111.6222.53safe8.08–13.758.67–14.5616.75–28.31safer7.32–14.517.92–15.3115.24–29.82
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.483.40safe0.76–3.080.38–2.571.14–5.65safer0.46–3.380.10–2.860.55–6.24
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.462.213.66safe0.41–2.511.08–3.331.49–5.84safer0.14–2.770.79–3.630.93–6.40
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.234.266.49safe0.80–3.672.70–5.813.50–9.48safer0.41–4.062.28–6.242.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.81 4.95–8.67 4.46–9.16 | 3.10 1.35–4.84 0.89–5.30 | 9.91 6.30–13.51 5.35–14.47 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.61 14.69–22.54 13.60–23.63 | 9.73 6.17–13.29 5.21–14.25 | 28.34 20.86–35.83 18.81–37.88 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.59–16.14 | 5.82 3.14–8.50 2.40–9.24 | 18.19 12.57–23.81 11.00–25.38 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.41 2.53–6.30 1.99–6.84 | 2.72 1.07–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 7.10 4.89–9.31 4.31–9.89 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.93–5.99 | 10.56 6.35–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 84% |
| Possession % | 57.08 50.29–63.87 48.62–65.54 | 42.68 35.89–49.46 34.22–51.13 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 550 483–617 465–635 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 942 808–1076 773–1112 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.42 64.39–72.45 63.10–73.74 | 67.46 63.14–71.78 61.83–73.09 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.08–13.75 7.32–14.51 | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 22.53 16.75–28.31 15.24–29.82 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.14–2.77 | 2.21 1.08–3.33 0.79–3.63 | 3.66 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.80–3.67 0.41–4.06 | 4.26 2.70–5.81 2.28–6.24 | 6.49 3.50–9.48 2.69–10.30 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.