Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.142.77safe0.66–2.600.29–2.000.95–4.60safer0.41–2.850.06–2.220.47–5.08
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.888.62safe2.87–6.602.14–5.625.01–12.22safer2.38–7.091.67–6.094.06–13.18
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2112.5527.75safe11.28–19.138.98–16.1120.27–35.24safer10.19–20.228.02–17.0718.22–37.29
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.898.0317.92safe6.94–12.835.35–10.7112.30–23.54safer6.11–13.664.61–11.4510.73–25.11
Blocked shots
50%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.918.30safe2.50–6.272.26–5.564.76–11.83safer1.96–6.811.76–6.053.72–12.87
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.4610.27safe3.60–8.022.46–6.466.05–14.48safer3.02–8.601.93–6.994.95–15.59
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.6849.40safe44.89–58.4742.61–56.18safer43.22–60.1440.94–57.86
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction471432903safe404–539365–498769–1037safer386–557348–516734–1073
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction66.6471.40safe62.61–70.6767.08–75.73safer61.31–71.9665.77–77.04
Fouls
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3811.8922.27safe7.54–13.228.95–14.8416.49–28.05safer6.79–13.978.20–15.5814.98–29.56
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.673.75safe0.92–3.240.58–2.761.50–6.01safer0.62–3.550.29–3.050.91–6.60
Yellow cards
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.533.04safe0.46–2.560.40–2.660.86–5.22safer0.20–2.830.11–2.950.30–5.78
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.115.73safe1.18–4.051.56–4.672.74–8.72safer0.79–4.441.13–5.091.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.14 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.22 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.62 5.01–12.22 4.06–13.18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.21 11.28–19.13 10.19–20.22 | 12.55 8.98–16.11 8.02–17.07 | 27.75 20.27–35.24 18.22–37.29 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.94–12.83 6.11–13.66 | 8.03 5.35–10.71 4.61–11.45 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.91 2.26–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.87 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.02 3.02–8.60 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.93–6.99 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.68 44.89–58.47 43.22–60.14 | 49.40 42.61–56.18 40.94–57.86 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 471 404–539 386–557 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 903 769–1037 734–1073 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.64 62.61–70.67 61.31–71.96 | 71.40 67.08–75.73 65.77–77.04 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.22 6.79–13.97 | 11.89 8.95–14.84 8.20–15.58 | 22.27 16.49–28.05 14.98–29.56 | 33% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.55 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.78 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.