Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.442.92safe0.51–2.450.58–2.291.09–4.74safer0.26–2.700.35–2.520.61–5.22
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.519.29safe2.91–6.642.77–6.265.69–12.90safer2.43–7.132.31–6.724.73–13.85
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9013.1427.04safe9.97–17.829.58–16.7019.55–34.53safer8.88–18.918.62–17.6617.50–36.58
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.588.6518.24safe6.64–12.535.97–11.3312.61–23.86safer5.81–13.365.23–12.0711.05–25.43
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.917.56safe1.77–5.542.26–5.564.03–11.10safer1.23–6.081.76–6.052.99–12.13
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.669.38safe2.50–6.932.66–6.665.17–13.59safer1.93–7.502.13–7.204.06–14.70
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.1753.12safe40.38–53.9646.34–59.91safer38.71–55.6344.67–61.58
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction448478926safe381–515411–544792–1060safer363–534394–562756–1095
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction68.9575.49safe64.92–72.9871.17–79.81safer63.62–74.2769.86–81.12
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2712.1123.38safe8.43–14.109.17–15.0617.60–29.16safer7.67–14.868.42–15.8116.09–30.67
Offsides
66%
15%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.191.754.94safe2.03–4.360.65–2.842.69–7.19safer1.73–4.660.36–3.132.10–7.78
Yellow cards
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.793.45safe0.62–2.720.66–2.921.28–5.63safer0.35–2.980.37–3.210.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
40%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.106.09safe1.55–4.421.54–4.663.10–9.08safer1.16–4.811.12–5.082.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.78 2.91–6.64 2.43–7.13 | 4.51 2.77–6.26 2.31–6.72 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.90 9.97–17.82 8.88–18.91 | 13.14 9.58–16.70 8.62–17.66 | 27.04 19.55–34.53 17.50–36.58 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.58 6.64–12.53 5.81–13.36 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 18.24 12.61–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.91 2.26–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 7.56 4.03–11.10 2.99–12.13 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.72 2.50–6.93 1.93–7.50 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 9.38 5.17–13.59 4.06–14.70 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 47.17 40.38–53.96 38.71–55.63 | 53.12 46.34–59.91 44.67–61.58 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–534 | 478 411–544 394–562 | 926 792–1060 756–1095 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.95 64.92–72.98 63.62–74.27 | 75.49 71.17–79.81 69.86–81.12 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.10 7.67–14.86 | 12.11 9.17–15.06 8.42–15.81 | 23.38 17.60–29.16 16.09–30.67 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 3.19 2.03–4.36 1.73–4.66 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.13 | 4.94 2.69–7.19 2.10–7.78 | 66% 15% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.45 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 3.10 1.54–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 40% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.