Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.082.84safe0.79–2.730.23–1.941.02–4.66safer0.54–2.980.00–2.160.54–5.14
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.759.04safe3.42–7.152.01–5.495.43–12.64safer2.93–7.641.54–5.964.48–13.60
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7010.7226.42safe11.77–19.627.16–14.2818.93–33.90safer10.68–20.716.20–15.2416.88–35.95
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.487.6717.15safe6.54–12.424.99–10.3511.52–22.77safer5.71–13.254.25–11.099.96–24.34
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.887.07safe2.31–6.071.23–4.533.54–10.61safer1.77–6.620.73–5.022.50–11.64
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.084.3510.43safe3.87–8.292.35–6.356.22–14.65safer3.29–8.871.82–6.895.11–15.75
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.1043.04safe50.31–63.8936.26–49.83safer48.64–65.5634.59–51.50
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction529380909safe462–596313–446775–1042safer443–614296–464739–1078
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction67.2366.24safe63.20–71.2661.92–70.57safer61.91–72.5660.61–71.88
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0211.9122.93safe8.18–13.868.96–14.8517.15–28.71safer7.43–14.628.21–15.6015.64–30.21
Offsides
60%
19%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.471.443.91safe1.31–3.630.35–2.541.65–6.16safer1.00–3.930.06–2.821.07–6.75
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.133.63safe0.45–2.541.01–3.261.45–5.81safer0.18–2.810.71–3.560.89–6.37
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.556.04safe1.06–3.931.99–5.103.05–9.03safer0.67–4.321.56–5.532.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 53% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.28 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 3.75 2.01–5.49 1.54–5.96 | 9.04 5.43–12.64 4.48–13.60 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.70 11.77–19.62 10.68–20.71 | 10.72 7.16–14.28 6.20–15.24 | 26.42 18.93–33.90 16.88–35.95 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 9.48 6.54–12.42 5.71–13.25 | 7.67 4.99–10.35 4.25–11.09 | 17.15 11.52–22.77 9.96–24.34 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.77–6.62 | 2.88 1.23–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.08 3.87–8.29 3.29–8.87 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.82–6.89 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 57.10 50.31–63.89 48.64–65.56 | 43.04 36.26–49.83 34.59–51.50 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 529 462–596 443–614 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.23 63.20–71.26 61.91–72.56 | 66.24 61.92–70.57 60.61–71.88 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 11.02 8.18–13.86 7.43–14.62 | 11.91 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.60 | 22.93 17.15–28.71 15.64–30.21 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.47 1.31–3.63 1.00–3.93 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.82 | 3.91 1.65–6.16 1.07–6.75 | 60% 19% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 2.13 1.01–3.26 0.71–3.56 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.37 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.55 1.99–5.10 1.56–5.53 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 26% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.