Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.613.17safe0.59–2.530.76–2.471.35–5.00safer0.34–2.780.53–2.700.87–5.47
Shots on target
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.934.859.77safe3.06–6.793.10–6.596.17–13.38safer2.58–7.282.64–7.055.21–14.33
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9311.9725.91safe10.01–17.868.41–15.5418.42–33.39safer8.92–18.957.45–16.5016.37–35.45
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.628.6917.30safe5.67–11.566.01–11.3711.68–22.93safer4.84–12.395.27–12.1110.11–24.49
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.003.227.22safe2.12–5.881.57–4.873.69–10.76safer1.58–6.431.07–5.372.65–11.79
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.189.76safe3.36–7.782.18–6.185.54–13.97safer2.78–8.361.65–6.724.43–15.08
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.5346.12safe47.74–61.3239.33–52.90safer46.07–62.9937.66–54.57
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction500399898safe432–567332–465765–1032safer414–585315–483729–1068
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction68.9667.56safe64.93–72.9963.24–71.88safer63.64–74.2961.93–73.19
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8411.9323.77safe9.00–14.688.98–14.8717.99–29.55safer8.25–15.438.23–15.6216.48–31.05
Offsides
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.453.705.14safe0.29–2.612.60–4.792.89–7.39safer0.00–2.912.31–5.082.30–7.98
Yellow cards
38%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.033.95safe0.88–2.970.90–3.161.78–6.13safer0.61–3.240.61–3.451.22–6.69
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.186.00safe1.39–4.261.62–4.733.01–9.00safer1.00–4.651.20–5.162.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.61 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 3.17 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.47 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.06–6.79 2.58–7.28 | 4.85 3.10–6.59 2.64–7.05 | 9.77 6.17–13.38 5.21–14.33 | 45% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.93 10.01–17.86 8.92–18.95 | 11.97 8.41–15.54 7.45–16.50 | 25.91 18.42–33.39 16.37–35.45 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.67–11.56 4.84–12.39 | 8.69 6.01–11.37 5.27–12.11 | 17.30 11.68–22.93 10.11–24.49 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.58–6.43 | 3.22 1.57–4.87 1.07–5.37 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.36–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.65–6.72 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.08 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.53 47.74–61.32 46.07–62.99 | 46.12 39.33–52.90 37.66–54.57 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 500 432–567 414–585 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.96 64.93–72.99 63.64–74.29 | 67.56 63.24–71.88 61.93–73.19 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.25–15.43 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 23.77 17.99–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.45 0.29–2.61 0.00–2.91 | 3.70 2.60–4.79 2.31–5.08 | 5.14 2.89–7.39 2.30–7.98 | 78% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.95 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 38% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.18 1.62–4.73 1.20–5.16 | 6.00 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.