Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.683.04safe0.38–2.320.83–2.541.21–4.86safer0.13–2.570.60–2.770.73–5.34
Shots on target
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.645.149.78safe2.77–6.503.40–6.886.17–13.38safer2.29–6.992.93–7.355.22–14.34
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8514.0028.85safe10.93–18.7810.43–17.5621.36–36.33safer9.83–19.879.47–18.5219.31–38.38
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.089.3018.38safe6.14–12.026.62–11.9812.76–24.00safer5.31–12.855.88–12.7211.19–25.57
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.838.33safe2.61–6.382.18–5.494.79–11.86safer2.07–6.921.69–5.983.76–12.90
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.3710.38safe2.80–7.233.37–7.376.17–14.59safer2.23–7.802.83–7.905.06–15.70
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.4552.64safe41.66–55.2445.86–59.43safer39.99–56.9144.19–61.10
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction413445857safe345–480378–511724–991safer327–498361–529688–1027
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction64.2670.46safe60.23–68.2966.13–74.78safer58.93–69.5864.82–76.09
Fouls
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.289.8123.09safe10.44–16.126.86–12.7517.31–28.87safer9.69–16.876.12–13.5015.80–30.38
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.783.50safe0.56–2.880.69–2.871.25–5.76safer0.26–3.190.40–3.160.66–6.35
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.613.47safe0.81–2.910.48–2.741.29–5.65safer0.54–3.170.19–3.030.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.116.46safe1.91–4.781.56–4.673.47–9.45safer1.52–5.171.13–5.102.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 3.04 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 31% 24% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.77–6.50 2.29–6.99 | 5.14 3.40–6.88 2.93–7.35 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 37% 50% |
| Total shots | 14.85 10.93–18.78 9.83–19.87 | 14.00 10.43–17.56 9.47–18.52 | 28.85 21.36–36.33 19.31–38.38 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.08 6.14–12.02 5.31–12.85 | 9.30 6.62–11.98 5.88–12.72 | 18.38 12.76–24.00 11.19–25.57 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 3.83 2.18–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 8.33 4.79–11.86 3.76–12.90 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.23 2.23–7.80 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.83–7.90 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 48.45 41.66–55.24 39.99–56.91 | 52.64 45.86–59.43 44.19–61.10 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 413 345–480 327–498 | 445 378–511 361–529 | 857 724–991 688–1027 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.26 60.23–68.29 58.93–69.58 | 70.46 66.13–74.78 64.82–76.09 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 13.28 10.44–16.12 9.69–16.87 | 9.81 6.86–12.75 6.12–13.50 | 23.09 17.31–28.87 15.80–30.38 | 73% 20% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.74–6.21 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.78 1.52–5.17 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.10 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+