Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.440.963.40safe1.47–3.400.11–1.821.58–5.22safer1.22–3.660.00–2.051.10–5.70
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.963.4010.36safe5.10–8.831.66–5.146.76–13.97safer4.61–9.311.19–5.615.80–14.92
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction19.259.8529.10safe15.33–23.186.29–13.4121.61–36.59safer14.23–24.275.33–14.3719.56–38.64
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.837.1019.93safe9.89–15.784.42–9.7814.31–25.55safer9.06–16.603.68–10.5212.74–27.12
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.832.478.30safe3.94–7.710.82–4.124.76–11.83safer3.40–8.250.33–4.623.73–12.87
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.483.2510.73safe5.27–9.701.25–5.256.52–14.95safer4.69–10.270.72–5.785.41–16.05
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.9035.12safe58.11–71.6928.33–41.90safer56.44–73.3626.66–43.57
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction631339970safe564–698272–405836–1103safer546–716255–423800–1139
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction78.8668.03safe74.83–82.8963.71–72.36safer73.53–84.1862.40–73.67
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2311.1922.42safe8.40–14.078.24–14.1316.64–28.21safer7.64–14.837.50–14.8815.14–29.71
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.763.26safe0.35–2.670.66–2.851.01–5.52safer0.05–2.970.38–3.140.42–6.11
Yellow cards
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.893.17safe0.23–2.330.77–3.020.99–5.35safer0.00–2.590.47–3.310.43–5.91
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.274.456.71safe0.83–3.702.89–6.003.72–9.71safer0.44–4.092.46–6.432.91–10.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.44 1.47–3.40 1.22–3.66 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 3.40 1.58–5.22 1.10–5.70 | 70% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.96 5.10–8.83 4.61–9.31 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 10.36 6.76–13.97 5.80–14.92 | 83% |
| Total shots | 19.25 15.33–23.18 14.23–24.27 | 9.85 6.29–13.41 5.33–14.37 | 29.10 21.61–36.59 19.56–38.64 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.83 9.89–15.78 9.06–16.60 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 19.93 14.31–25.55 12.74–27.12 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.83 3.94–7.71 3.40–8.25 | 2.47 0.82–4.12 0.33–4.62 | 8.30 4.76–11.83 3.73–12.87 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.70 4.69–10.27 | 3.25 1.25–5.25 0.72–5.78 | 10.73 6.52–14.95 5.41–16.05 | 88% |
| Possession % | 64.90 58.11–71.69 56.44–73.36 | 35.12 28.33–41.90 26.66–43.57 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 631 564–698 546–716 | 339 272–405 255–423 | 970 836–1103 800–1139 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.86 74.83–82.89 73.53–84.18 | 68.03 63.71–72.36 62.40–73.67 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.23 8.40–14.07 7.64–14.83 | 11.19 8.24–14.13 7.50–14.88 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.28 0.23–2.33 0.00–2.59 | 1.89 0.77–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.91 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 4.45 2.89–6.00 2.46–6.43 | 6.71 3.72–9.71 2.91–10.52 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+