Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.083.07safe1.02–2.950.23–1.941.24–4.89safer0.77–3.200.00–2.160.76–5.37
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.493.418.90safe3.63–7.351.67–5.155.29–12.50safer3.14–7.841.20–5.624.34–13.46
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3010.8527.15safe12.37–20.227.29–14.4219.66–34.64safer11.28–21.316.33–15.3717.61–36.69
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.587.1017.69safe7.64–13.534.42–9.7912.07–23.31safer6.81–14.363.69–10.5210.50–24.88
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.057.63safe2.70–6.471.39–4.704.10–11.17safer2.16–7.010.90–5.193.06–12.20
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.0310.05safe3.81–8.232.03–6.035.84–14.26safer3.23–8.811.50–6.574.73–15.37
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.4436.84safe56.65–70.2330.06–43.63safer54.98–71.9028.39–45.30
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction614329942safe547–681262–395809–1076safer528–699245–413773–1112
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction72.0464.47safe68.01–76.0760.15–68.79safer66.72–77.3658.84–70.10
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4011.6822.07safe7.56–13.238.73–14.6216.29–27.85safer6.80–13.997.98–15.3714.79–29.36
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.663.21safe0.39–2.710.57–2.750.95–5.46safer0.09–3.010.28–3.040.36–6.05
Yellow cards
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.863.13safe0.22–2.320.74–2.990.95–5.31safer0.00–2.580.44–3.280.40–5.87
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.636.01safe0.94–3.822.07–5.193.02–9.00safer0.56–4.201.65–5.612.21–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.02–2.95 0.77–3.20 | 1.08 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.16 | 3.07 1.24–4.89 0.76–5.37 | 58% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.49 3.63–7.35 3.14–7.84 | 3.41 1.67–5.15 1.20–5.62 | 8.90 5.29–12.50 4.34–13.46 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.30 12.37–20.22 11.28–21.31 | 10.85 7.29–14.42 6.33–15.37 | 27.15 19.66–34.64 17.61–36.69 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.58 7.64–13.53 6.81–14.36 | 7.10 4.42–9.79 3.69–10.52 | 17.69 12.07–23.31 10.50–24.88 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.05 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.23 3.23–8.81 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.57 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 63.44 56.65–70.23 54.98–71.90 | 36.84 30.06–43.63 28.39–45.30 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 614 547–681 528–699 | 329 262–395 245–413 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.04 68.01–76.07 66.72–77.36 | 64.47 60.15–68.79 58.84–70.10 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.23 6.80–13.99 | 11.68 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.37 | 22.07 16.29–27.85 14.79–29.36 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.27 0.22–2.32 0.00–2.58 | 1.86 0.74–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.13 0.95–5.31 0.40–5.87 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.82 0.56–4.20 | 3.63 2.07–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.01 3.02–9.00 2.21–9.81 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.