Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.612.98safe0.40–2.330.76–2.461.15–4.80safer0.15–2.590.53–2.690.67–5.28
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.949.36safe2.56–6.293.20–6.685.76–12.97safer2.07–6.782.73–7.154.80–13.92
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1613.6126.77safe9.23–17.0810.04–17.1719.28–34.25safer8.14–18.189.09–18.1317.23–36.30
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.889.0417.92safe5.94–11.836.36–11.7212.30–23.54safer5.11–12.665.62–12.4510.73–25.11
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.767.30safe1.66–5.422.11–5.413.76–10.83safer1.11–5.961.62–5.912.73–11.87
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.245.1310.36safe3.02–7.453.13–7.136.15–14.58safer2.45–8.032.59–7.665.04–15.68
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction42.7257.62safe35.93–49.5150.84–64.41safer34.26–51.1849.17–66.08
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction377508885safe310–444441–574751–1018safer292–462424–592715–1054
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction61.9474.62safe57.91–65.9770.30–78.95safer56.62–67.2668.99–80.26
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4211.6124.03safe9.58–15.268.66–14.5518.25–29.81safer8.83–16.027.91–15.3016.74–31.32
Offsides
28%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.364.06safe0.53–2.851.27–3.461.81–6.31safer0.23–3.160.98–3.751.22–6.90
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.683.69safe0.96–3.060.55–2.811.51–5.87safer0.69–3.320.26–3.100.95–6.43
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.902.865.76safe1.46–4.341.30–4.422.77–8.75safer1.08–4.720.88–4.841.96–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.33 0.15–2.59 | 1.61 0.76–2.46 0.53–2.69 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.56–6.29 2.07–6.78 | 4.94 3.20–6.68 2.73–7.15 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.92 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.18 | 13.61 10.04–17.17 9.09–18.13 | 26.77 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.83 5.11–12.66 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.45 | 17.92 12.30–23.54 10.73–25.11 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.11–5.96 | 3.76 2.11–5.41 1.62–5.91 | 7.30 3.76–10.83 2.73–11.87 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.03 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 42.72 35.93–49.51 34.26–51.18 | 57.62 50.84–64.41 49.17–66.08 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 377 310–444 292–462 | 508 441–574 424–592 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.94 57.91–65.97 56.62–67.26 | 74.62 70.30–78.95 68.99–80.26 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.42 9.58–15.26 8.83–16.02 | 11.61 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.30 | 24.03 18.25–29.81 16.74–31.32 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 2.36 1.27–3.46 0.98–3.75 | 4.06 1.81–6.31 1.22–6.90 | 28% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.69–3.32 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.69 1.51–5.87 0.95–6.43 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.34 1.08–4.72 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.56 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.