Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
22%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.973.10safe0.16–2.101.12–2.831.28–4.93safer0.00–2.350.89–3.060.80–5.40
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.915.709.61safe2.04–5.773.96–7.446.00–13.21safer1.55–6.263.49–7.915.04–14.17
Total shots
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0715.2327.29safe8.14–15.9911.66–18.7919.80–34.78safer7.05–17.0810.70–19.7517.75–36.83
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8910.3318.22safe4.95–10.847.65–13.0112.60–23.85safer4.12–11.676.91–13.7511.03–25.41
Blocked shots
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.124.347.46safe1.24–5.002.68–5.993.92–10.99safer0.69–5.552.19–6.482.89–12.03
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.365.619.97safe2.15–6.573.61–7.615.75–14.18safer1.57–7.153.07–8.144.65–15.29
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.8458.03safe35.05–48.6351.24–64.81safer33.38–50.3049.57–66.49
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction388502890safe320–455436–568756–1023safer302–473418–586720–1059
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction61.3673.63safe57.33–65.3969.30–77.95safer56.04–66.6867.99–79.26
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7310.9822.72safe8.90–14.578.04–13.9316.94–28.50safer8.14–15.337.29–14.6815.43–30.01
Offsides
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.883.59safe0.55–2.870.79–2.981.34–5.85safer0.25–3.170.50–3.260.75–6.43
Yellow cards
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.553.30safe0.70–2.800.42–2.681.12–5.48safer0.44–3.070.13–2.970.57–6.04
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.732.626.35safe2.29–5.171.06–4.183.36–9.34safer1.91–5.550.64–4.602.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.97 1.12–2.83 0.89–3.06 | 3.10 1.28–4.93 0.80–5.40 | 21% 22% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.91 2.04–5.77 1.55–6.26 | 5.70 3.96–7.44 3.49–7.91 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.04–14.17 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 12.07 8.14–15.99 7.05–17.08 | 15.23 11.66–18.79 10.70–19.75 | 27.29 19.80–34.78 17.75–36.83 | 24% 69% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.84 4.12–11.67 | 10.33 7.65–13.01 6.91–13.75 | 18.22 12.60–23.85 11.03–25.41 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.12 1.24–5.00 0.69–5.55 | 4.34 2.68–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 7.46 3.92–10.99 2.89–12.03 | 26% 14% 60% |
| Corners | 4.36 2.15–6.57 1.57–7.15 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.07–8.14 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 41.84 35.05–48.63 33.38–50.30 | 58.03 51.24–64.81 49.57–66.49 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 388 320–455 302–473 | 502 436–568 418–586 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.36 57.33–65.39 56.04–66.68 | 73.63 69.30–77.95 67.99–79.26 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 22.72 16.94–28.50 15.43–30.01 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.26 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.43 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 3.30 1.12–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.73 2.29–5.17 1.91–5.55 | 2.62 1.06–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 6.35 3.36–9.34 2.55–10.16 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.