Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
18%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.290.923.21safe1.33–3.260.06–1.771.39–5.03safer1.07–3.510.00–2.000.91–5.51
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.8310.43safe4.74–8.462.09–5.576.83–14.04safer4.25–8.951.62–6.045.87–14.99
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.9810.4829.46safe15.06–22.916.92–14.0421.98–36.95safer13.97–24.005.96–15.0019.92–39.00
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.896.3818.27safe8.95–14.843.70–9.0612.65–23.90safer8.12–15.672.96–9.8011.08–25.46
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.662.627.28safe2.78–6.550.96–4.273.75–10.82safer2.24–7.090.47–4.762.71–11.85
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.133.4910.63safe4.92–9.351.49–5.496.42–14.84safer4.35–9.920.96–6.035.31–15.95
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.2438.98safe54.45–68.0332.19–45.76safer52.78–69.7030.52–47.43
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction551349900safe483–618283–416766–1034safer465–636265–433731–1069
Pass accuracy %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction73.6367.05safe69.60–77.6662.73–71.37safer68.31–78.9561.42–72.68
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9812.7123.68safe8.14–13.819.76–15.6517.90–29.46safer7.38–14.579.01–16.4016.39–30.97
Offsides
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.325.16safe0.67–2.992.23–4.422.90–7.41safer0.37–3.291.94–4.702.31–8.00
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.963.49safe0.48–2.580.83–3.091.31–5.67safer0.21–2.840.54–3.380.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.326.82safe1.07–3.942.76–5.873.83–9.82safer0.68–4.332.33–6.303.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.33–3.26 1.07–3.51 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.21 1.39–5.03 0.91–5.51 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.60 4.74–8.46 4.25–8.95 | 3.83 2.09–5.57 1.62–6.04 | 10.43 6.83–14.04 5.87–14.99 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 18.98 15.06–22.91 13.97–24.00 | 10.48 6.92–14.04 5.96–15.00 | 29.46 21.98–36.95 19.92–39.00 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.95–14.84 8.12–15.67 | 6.38 3.70–9.06 2.96–9.80 | 18.27 12.65–23.90 11.08–25.46 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.55 2.24–7.09 | 2.62 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 7.13 4.92–9.35 4.35–9.92 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.03 | 10.63 6.42–14.84 5.31–15.95 | 83% |
| Possession % | 61.24 54.45–68.03 52.78–69.70 | 38.98 32.19–45.76 30.52–47.43 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 551 483–618 465–636 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.63 69.60–77.66 68.31–78.95 | 67.05 62.73–71.37 61.42–72.68 | — | 78% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.81 7.38–14.57 | 12.71 9.76–15.65 9.01–16.40 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.39–30.97 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 3.32 2.23–4.42 1.94–4.70 | 5.16 2.90–7.41 2.31–8.00 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 4.32 2.76–5.87 2.33–6.30 | 6.82 3.83–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.