Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.122.50safe0.42–2.350.26–1.970.68–4.33safer0.17–2.610.03–2.200.20–4.81
Shots on target
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.898.54safe2.79–6.512.15–5.644.94–12.15safer2.30–7.001.68–6.103.98–13.10
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9611.6924.64safe9.03–16.888.12–15.2517.15–32.13safer7.94–17.977.16–16.2115.10–34.18
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction9.107.3016.40safe6.16–12.044.62–9.9810.78–22.02safer5.33–12.873.88–10.729.21–23.59
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.587.13safe1.67–5.441.92–5.233.60–10.67safer1.13–5.981.43–5.722.56–11.70
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.329.47safe2.94–7.362.32–6.325.25–13.68safer2.36–7.941.79–6.854.15–14.79
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.3655.62safe37.57–51.1548.84–62.40safer35.90–52.8247.16–64.08
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction403513917safe336–470447–580783–1050safer318–489429–597747–1086
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction63.5872.07safe59.55–67.6167.74–76.39safer58.26–68.9066.43–77.70
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5711.3423.91safe9.73–15.418.40–14.2918.13–29.69safer8.98–16.167.65–15.0416.63–31.20
Offsides
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.443.30safe0.70–3.020.34–2.531.04–5.55safer0.40–3.320.06–2.820.45–6.14
Yellow cards
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.563.25safe0.63–2.730.43–2.691.07–5.42safer0.37–3.000.14–2.980.51–5.98
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.175.67safe1.06–3.931.62–4.732.68–8.66safer0.67–4.321.19–5.151.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.50 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.51 2.30–7.00 | 3.89 2.15–5.64 1.68–6.10 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 12.96 9.03–16.88 7.94–17.97 | 11.69 8.12–15.25 7.16–16.21 | 24.64 17.15–32.13 15.10–34.18 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.10 6.16–12.04 5.33–12.87 | 7.30 4.62–9.98 3.88–10.72 | 16.40 10.78–22.02 9.21–23.59 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.58 1.92–5.23 1.43–5.72 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.15 2.94–7.36 2.36–7.94 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.47 5.25–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 44.36 37.57–51.15 35.90–52.82 | 55.62 48.84–62.40 47.16–64.08 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 403 336–470 318–489 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 917 783–1050 747–1086 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.58 59.55–67.61 58.26–68.90 | 72.07 67.74–76.39 66.43–77.70 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.57 9.73–15.41 8.98–16.16 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 23.91 18.13–29.69 16.63–31.20 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.44 0.34–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.25 1.07–5.42 0.51–5.98 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.17 1.62–4.73 1.19–5.15 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 31% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.