Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.863.26safe1.44–3.370.00–1.711.44–5.09safer1.18–3.620.00–1.940.96–5.57
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.149.89safe4.88–8.611.40–4.886.28–13.49safer4.40–9.100.93–5.355.33–14.45
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction19.0510.0929.14safe15.13–22.986.53–13.6621.66–36.63safer14.04–24.075.57–14.6119.61–38.68
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.535.7018.24safe9.59–15.483.02–8.3812.61–23.86safer8.76–16.312.28–9.1211.05–25.43
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.692.977.67safe2.81–6.581.32–4.634.13–11.20safer2.27–7.120.83–5.123.10–12.24
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.6010.43safe4.62–9.051.60–5.606.22–14.65safer4.05–9.621.06–6.135.11–15.75
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.3040.29safe53.51–67.0933.51–47.08safer51.84–68.7631.84–48.75
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction582359941safe515–649293–426807–1075safer497–667275–443772–1110
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction74.2469.03safe70.21–78.2764.70–73.35safer68.92–79.5663.39–74.66
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9913.2124.19safe8.15–13.8210.26–16.1518.41–29.98safer7.39–14.589.51–16.9016.91–31.48
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.813.67safe0.70–3.030.72–2.901.42–5.93safer0.40–3.330.43–3.190.83–6.52
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.943.19safe0.20–2.290.82–3.071.01–5.37safer0.00–2.560.52–3.360.45–5.93
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.384.056.44safe0.95–3.822.50–5.613.45–9.43safer0.56–4.212.07–6.042.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.44–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.86 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 3.26 1.44–5.09 0.96–5.57 | 72% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.75 4.88–8.61 4.40–9.10 | 3.14 1.40–4.88 0.93–5.35 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.33–14.45 | 84% |
| Total shots | 19.05 15.13–22.98 14.04–24.07 | 10.09 6.53–13.66 5.57–14.61 | 29.14 21.66–36.63 19.61–38.68 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 12.53 9.59–15.48 8.76–16.31 | 5.70 3.02–8.38 2.28–9.12 | 18.24 12.61–23.86 11.05–25.43 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.69 2.81–6.58 2.27–7.12 | 2.97 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.84 4.62–9.05 4.05–9.62 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.06–6.13 | 10.43 6.22–14.65 5.11–15.75 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.30 53.51–67.09 51.84–68.76 | 40.29 33.51–47.08 31.84–48.75 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 582 515–649 497–667 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.24 70.21–78.27 68.92–79.56 | 69.03 64.70–73.35 63.39–74.66 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.99 8.15–13.82 7.39–14.58 | 13.21 10.26–16.15 9.51–16.90 | 24.19 18.41–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.70–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 1.94 0.82–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.19 1.01–5.37 0.45–5.93 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.04 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.