Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.432.84safe0.44–2.380.58–2.291.02–4.67safer0.19–2.630.35–2.510.54–5.15
Shots on target
43%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.484.518.99safe2.62–6.342.76–6.255.38–12.59safer2.13–6.832.30–6.724.43–13.55
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9412.6126.54safe10.01–17.869.04–16.1719.06–34.03safer8.92–18.958.09–17.1317.01–36.08
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.708.4117.11safe5.76–11.655.73–11.0911.49–22.74safer4.93–12.484.99–11.839.92–24.30
Blocked shots
47%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.827.92safe2.21–5.982.17–5.484.38–11.45safer1.67–6.521.68–5.973.35–12.49
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.294.509.79safe3.08–7.502.50–6.505.57–14.00safer2.50–8.081.96–7.034.47–15.11
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3152.23safe41.52–55.1045.45–59.02safer39.85–56.7743.78–60.69
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction465457922safe398–532390–523788–1056safer380–551373–541753–1091
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction62.7569.98safe58.72–66.7865.65–74.30safer57.43–68.0764.34–75.61
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0012.0923.09safe8.16–13.849.15–15.0317.31–28.87safer7.41–14.608.40–15.7815.80–30.38
Offsides
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.422.92safe0.34–2.660.33–2.520.67–5.18safer0.04–2.960.04–2.810.08–5.77
Yellow cards
30%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.863.29safe0.38–2.480.73–2.991.11–5.47safer0.11–2.740.44–3.280.55–6.02
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.905.89safe1.56–4.431.34–4.452.90–8.88safer1.17–4.820.92–4.882.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.51 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 4.51 2.76–6.25 2.30–6.72 | 8.99 5.38–12.59 4.43–13.55 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.01–17.86 8.92–18.95 | 12.61 9.04–16.17 8.09–17.13 | 26.54 19.06–34.03 17.01–36.08 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 8.41 5.73–11.09 4.99–11.83 | 17.11 11.49–22.74 9.92–24.30 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 3.82 2.17–5.48 1.68–5.97 | 7.92 4.38–11.45 3.35–12.49 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.96–7.03 | 9.79 5.57–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 48.31 41.52–55.10 39.85–56.77 | 52.23 45.45–59.02 43.78–60.69 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 465 398–532 380–551 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 922 788–1056 753–1091 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.75 58.72–66.78 57.43–68.07 | 69.98 65.65–74.30 64.34–75.61 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.00 8.16–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 12.09 9.15–15.03 8.40–15.78 | 23.09 17.31–28.87 15.80–30.38 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 2.92 0.67–5.18 0.08–5.77 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.55–6.02 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 2.90 1.34–4.45 0.92–4.88 | 5.89 2.90–8.88 2.09–9.70 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+