Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.193.18safe1.02–2.960.33–2.041.35–5.00safer0.77–3.210.11–2.270.88–5.48
Shots on target
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.8610.08safe4.36–8.092.12–5.606.48–13.69safer3.87–8.581.65–6.075.52–14.64
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction18.2811.0729.34safe14.35–22.207.50–14.6321.86–36.83safer13.26–23.296.55–15.5919.81–38.88
Shots in box
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.837.5519.38safe8.89–14.774.87–10.2313.76–25.00safer8.06–15.604.13–10.9712.19–26.57
Blocked shots
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.108.20safe3.22–6.991.44–4.754.67–11.74safer2.68–7.530.95–5.243.63–12.77
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction6.154.8210.97safe3.94–8.362.82–6.826.75–15.18safer3.36–8.942.28–7.355.65–16.29
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction53.1547.48safe46.36–59.9440.70–54.27safer44.69–61.6139.03–55.94
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction481418899safe414–549352–485766–1033safer396–567334–502730–1069
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction67.6271.22safe63.59–71.6566.90–75.54safer62.30–72.9465.59–76.85
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0411.1822.23safe8.21–13.888.24–14.1316.44–28.01safer7.45–14.647.49–14.8714.94–29.51
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.583.44safe0.70–3.020.48–2.671.18–5.69safer0.40–3.320.19–2.960.59–6.28
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.612.99safe0.32–2.420.48–2.740.81–5.16safer0.06–2.690.19–3.030.25–5.72
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.886.44safe1.12–3.992.33–5.443.45–9.43safer0.73–4.381.90–5.862.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.22 4.36–8.09 3.87–8.58 | 3.86 2.12–5.60 1.65–6.07 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 72% 18% |
| Total shots | 18.28 14.35–22.20 13.26–23.29 | 11.07 7.50–14.63 6.55–15.59 | 29.34 21.86–36.83 19.81–38.88 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.83 8.89–14.77 8.06–15.60 | 7.55 4.87–10.23 4.13–10.97 | 19.38 13.76–25.00 12.19–26.57 | 81% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.22–6.99 2.68–7.53 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.77 | 70% 19% |
| Corners | 6.15 3.94–8.36 3.36–8.94 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.28–7.35 | 10.97 6.75–15.18 5.65–16.29 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 53.15 46.36–59.94 44.69–61.61 | 47.48 40.70–54.27 39.03–55.94 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 481 414–549 396–567 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.62 63.59–71.65 62.30–72.94 | 71.22 66.90–75.54 65.59–76.85 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 11.18 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.87 | 22.23 16.44–28.01 14.94–29.51 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.58 0.48–2.67 0.19–2.96 | 3.44 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 2.99 0.81–5.16 0.25–5.72 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.88 2.33–5.44 1.90–5.86 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.25 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+