Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.772.95safe0.21–2.140.92–2.631.13–4.77safer0.00–2.390.69–2.860.65–5.25
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.215.079.27safe2.34–6.073.32–6.815.67–12.88safer1.86–6.562.86–7.274.71–13.83
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3714.8627.24safe8.45–16.3011.30–18.4319.75–34.72safer7.36–17.3910.34–19.3917.70–36.77
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3210.4418.76safe5.38–11.267.76–13.1213.14–24.38safer4.55–12.097.02–13.8611.57–25.95
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.394.357.73safe1.51–5.272.69–6.004.20–11.27safer0.96–5.812.20–6.493.16–12.30
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.399.99safe2.38–6.813.39–7.395.78–14.20safer1.81–7.382.86–7.934.67–15.31
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.8655.97safe38.07–51.6549.19–62.76safer36.40–53.3247.51–64.43
Passes
26%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction424502926safe357–491436–569793–1060safer339–509418–586757–1096
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.6576.36safe60.62–68.6872.04–80.68safer59.33–69.9770.73–81.99
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5011.1522.65safe8.66–14.348.21–14.1016.87–28.44safer7.91–15.097.46–14.8515.37–29.94
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.613.71safe0.94–3.260.52–2.701.46–5.97safer0.64–3.560.23–2.990.87–6.56
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.723.64safe0.87–2.970.59–2.841.46–5.82safer0.61–3.240.30–3.140.90–6.38
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.846.35safe2.08–4.951.28–4.393.36–9.35safer1.69–5.340.85–4.822.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.77 0.92–2.63 0.69–2.86 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 25% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.34–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 5.07 3.32–6.81 2.86–7.27 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.37 8.45–16.30 7.36–17.39 | 14.86 11.30–18.43 10.34–19.39 | 27.24 19.75–34.72 17.70–36.77 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 8.32 5.38–11.26 4.55–12.09 | 10.44 7.76–13.12 7.02–13.86 | 18.76 13.14–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 4.35 2.69–6.00 2.20–6.49 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.60 2.38–6.81 1.81–7.38 | 5.39 3.39–7.39 2.86–7.93 | 9.99 5.78–14.20 4.67–15.31 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 44.86 38.07–51.65 36.40–53.32 | 55.97 49.19–62.76 47.51–64.43 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–509 | 502 436–569 418–586 | 926 793–1060 757–1096 | 26% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.65 60.62–68.68 59.33–69.97 | 76.36 72.04–80.68 70.73–81.99 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.66–14.34 7.91–15.09 | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 22.65 16.87–28.44 15.37–29.94 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.56 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 1.72 0.59–2.84 0.30–3.14 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.38 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.82 | 6.35 3.36–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 53% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.