Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.332.55safe0.25–2.180.48–2.190.72–4.37safer0.00–2.430.25–2.410.24–4.85
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.408.49safe2.24–5.962.65–6.144.89–12.10safer1.75–6.452.19–6.603.93–13.06
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3912.9225.31safe8.47–16.329.35–16.4817.82–32.80safer7.38–17.418.40–17.4415.77–34.85
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.318.6416.95safe5.36–11.255.96–11.3211.32–22.57safer4.53–12.085.22–12.069.76–24.14
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.907.66safe1.89–5.652.24–5.554.13–11.20safer1.34–6.191.75–6.043.09–12.23
Corners
45%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.974.869.83safe2.76–7.182.86–6.865.62–14.05safer2.18–7.762.33–7.404.51–15.15
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.1251.60safe41.33–54.9144.81–58.38safer39.66–56.5843.14–60.06
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction443446890safe376–511380–513756–1023safer358–529362–530720–1059
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction61.0068.81safe56.97–65.0364.49–73.14safer55.68–66.3263.18–74.45
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0411.5422.58safe8.20–13.888.59–14.4816.79–28.36safer7.45–14.637.84–15.2315.29–29.86
Offsides
18%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.493.79safe0.14–2.461.40–3.591.54–6.05safer0.00–2.761.11–3.870.95–6.63
Yellow cards
45%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.683.68safe0.94–3.040.55–2.811.50–5.85safer0.68–3.310.26–3.100.94–6.41
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.782.655.42safe1.34–4.211.09–4.202.43–8.42safer0.95–4.600.67–4.631.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 2.55 0.72–4.37 0.24–4.85 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.96 1.75–6.45 | 4.40 2.65–6.14 2.19–6.60 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.06 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.39 8.47–16.32 7.38–17.41 | 12.92 9.35–16.48 8.40–17.44 | 25.31 17.82–32.80 15.77–34.85 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.36–11.25 4.53–12.08 | 8.64 5.96–11.32 5.22–12.06 | 16.95 11.32–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.76–7.18 2.18–7.76 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.40 | 9.83 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.15 | 45% 42% |
| Possession % | 48.12 41.33–54.91 39.66–56.58 | 51.60 44.81–58.38 43.14–60.06 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 443 376–511 358–529 | 446 380–513 362–530 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.00 56.97–65.03 55.68–66.32 | 68.81 64.49–73.14 63.18–74.45 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.20–13.88 7.45–14.63 | 11.54 8.59–14.48 7.84–15.23 | 22.58 16.79–28.36 15.29–29.86 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.14–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 2.49 1.40–3.59 1.11–3.87 | 3.79 1.54–6.05 0.95–6.63 | 18% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.68 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 45% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.42 2.43–8.42 1.62–9.23 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.