Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.202.85safe0.68–2.620.34–2.051.02–4.67safer0.43–2.870.12–2.280.54–5.15
Shots on target
52%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.624.008.62safe2.76–6.482.26–5.745.02–12.23safer2.27–6.971.79–6.214.06–13.18
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4812.3526.83safe10.56–18.408.79–15.9119.34–34.32safer9.46–19.507.83–16.8717.29–36.37
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.467.7817.24safe6.52–12.415.10–10.4611.62–22.87safer5.69–13.244.36–11.2010.05–24.43
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.607.43safe1.96–5.721.94–5.253.90–10.97safer1.41–6.271.45–5.742.86–12.01
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.584.6810.26safe3.36–7.792.68–6.686.05–14.47safer2.79–8.372.15–7.214.94–15.58
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3141.84safe51.52–65.1035.05–48.62safer49.85–66.7733.38–50.29
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction519359878safe452–586292–425744–1011safer434–604275–443708–1047
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction68.0665.44safe64.04–72.0961.12–69.76safer62.74–73.3959.81–71.07
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7213.6023.32safe6.89–12.5610.66–16.5417.54–29.11safer6.13–13.329.91–17.2916.04–30.61
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.793.31safe0.36–2.680.70–2.891.05–5.56safer0.05–2.980.41–3.170.47–6.15
Yellow cards
26%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.933.26safe0.28–2.380.80–3.061.08–5.44safer0.02–2.650.51–3.350.53–6.00
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.035.57safe1.11–3.981.47–4.582.58–8.57safer0.72–4.371.05–5.011.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.68–2.62 0.43–2.87 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.85 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 4.00 2.26–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 8.62 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.18 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.48 10.56–18.40 9.46–19.50 | 12.35 8.79–15.91 7.83–16.87 | 26.83 19.34–34.32 17.29–36.37 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.52–12.41 5.69–13.24 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.20 | 17.24 11.62–22.87 10.05–24.43 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.27 | 3.60 1.94–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.01 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.36–7.79 2.79–8.37 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 58.31 51.52–65.10 49.85–66.77 | 41.84 35.05–48.62 33.38–50.29 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 519 452–586 434–604 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.04–72.09 62.74–73.39 | 65.44 61.12–69.76 59.81–71.07 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 9.72 6.89–12.56 6.13–13.32 | 13.60 10.66–16.54 9.91–17.29 | 23.32 17.54–29.11 16.04–30.61 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.31 1.05–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.02–2.65 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.53–6.00 | 26% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 3.03 1.47–4.58 1.05–5.01 | 5.57 2.58–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.