Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.852.80safe0.00–1.920.99–2.700.98–4.62safer0.00–2.170.77–2.930.50–5.10
Shots on target
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.235.388.61safe1.37–5.103.63–7.125.00–12.21safer0.88–5.583.17–7.584.05–13.17
Total shots
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9414.6024.54safe6.02–13.8611.04–18.1617.05–32.03safer4.92–14.9610.08–19.1215.00–34.08
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.349.8616.19safe3.39–9.287.18–12.5410.57–21.82safer2.56–10.116.44–13.289.00–23.38
Blocked shots
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.306.58safe0.40–4.162.64–5.953.04–10.11safer0.00–4.712.15–6.442.01–11.15
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.405.759.15safe1.18–5.613.75–7.754.93–13.36safer0.61–6.183.22–8.283.83–14.47
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.8163.39safe30.02–43.6056.60–70.17safer28.35–45.2754.93–71.84
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction348552899safe280–415485–618766–1033safer262–433468–636730–1069
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction58.3877.00safe54.35–62.4172.67–81.32safer53.06–63.7071.36–82.63
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5611.8124.37safe9.72–15.408.87–14.7618.59–30.16safer8.97–16.158.12–15.5117.09–31.66
Offsides
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.145.60safe2.30–4.621.04–3.233.35–7.86safer2.00–4.930.76–3.522.76–8.44
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.703.64safe0.89–2.990.57–2.831.46–5.82safer0.62–3.260.28–3.120.90–6.37
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.402.255.64safe1.96–4.830.69–3.802.65–8.63safer1.57–5.220.27–4.231.84–9.45
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.85 0.99–2.70 0.77–2.93 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.23 1.37–5.10 0.88–5.58 | 5.38 3.63–7.12 3.17–7.58 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 18% 71% |
| Total shots | 9.94 6.02–13.86 4.92–14.96 | 14.60 11.04–18.16 10.08–19.12 | 24.54 17.05–32.03 15.00–34.08 | 15% 80% |
| Shots in box | 6.34 3.39–9.28 2.56–10.11 | 9.86 7.18–12.54 6.44–13.28 | 16.19 10.57–21.82 9.00–23.38 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.28 0.40–4.16 0.00–4.71 | 4.30 2.64–5.95 2.15–6.44 | 6.58 3.04–10.11 2.01–11.15 | 16% 72% |
| Corners | 3.40 1.18–5.61 0.61–6.18 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.28 | 9.15 4.93–13.36 3.83–14.47 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 36.81 30.02–43.60 28.35–45.27 | 63.39 56.60–70.17 54.93–71.84 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 348 280–415 262–433 | 552 485–618 468–636 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.38 54.35–62.41 53.06–63.70 | 77.00 72.67–81.32 71.36–82.63 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.72–15.40 8.97–16.15 | 11.81 8.87–14.76 8.12–15.51 | 24.37 18.59–30.16 17.09–31.66 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 3.46 2.30–4.62 2.00–4.93 | 2.14 1.04–3.23 0.76–3.52 | 5.60 3.35–7.86 2.76–8.44 | 63% 15% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.26 | 1.70 0.57–2.83 0.28–3.12 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.37 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.40 1.96–4.83 1.57–5.22 | 2.25 0.69–3.80 0.27–4.23 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.84–9.45 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.