Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·
Jupiler Pro League·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.132.93safe0.83–2.770.27–1.981.11–4.75safer0.58–3.020.05–2.210.63–5.23
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.4310.31safe4.02–7.742.69–6.186.71–13.92safer3.53–8.232.23–6.645.75–14.87
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0812.7428.82safe12.15–20.009.18–16.3021.33–36.30safer11.06–21.098.22–17.2619.28–38.35
Shots in box
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction10.707.9718.68safe7.76–13.655.29–10.6513.05–24.30safer6.93–14.484.55–11.3911.49–25.87
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.337.44safe2.23–6.001.67–4.983.90–10.98safer1.69–6.541.18–5.472.87–12.01
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.234.4410.67safe4.02–8.452.44–6.446.46–14.89safer3.45–9.021.91–6.975.35–15.99
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.0350.52safe42.24–55.8243.73–57.30safer40.57–57.4942.06–58.97
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction461473934safe394–528406–539800–1067safer375–546389–557764–1103
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction66.9273.57safe62.89–70.9569.25–77.90safer61.60–72.2467.94–79.21
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7811.2423.02safe8.94–14.618.30–14.1917.24–28.80safer8.18–15.377.55–14.9415.73–30.31
Offsides
51%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.303.18safe0.72–3.040.20–2.390.93–5.43safer0.42–3.340.00–2.680.34–6.02
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.953.45safe0.46–2.550.82–3.081.27–5.63safer0.19–2.820.53–3.370.72–6.19
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.140.20safe0.00–0.220.00–0.330.00–0.55safer0.00–0.370.00–0.460.00–0.83
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.826.61safe1.36–4.232.26–5.383.62–9.60safer0.97–4.621.84–5.802.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.13 0.27–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.02–7.74 3.53–8.23 | 4.43 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 10.31 6.71–13.92 5.75–14.87 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.08 12.15–20.00 11.06–21.09 | 12.74 9.18–16.30 8.22–17.26 | 28.82 21.33–36.30 19.28–38.35 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 10.70 7.76–13.65 6.93–14.48 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 18.68 13.05–24.30 11.49–25.87 | 70% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.33 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 7.44 3.90–10.98 2.87–12.01 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.91–6.97 | 10.67 6.46–14.89 5.35–15.99 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 49.03 42.24–55.82 40.57–57.49 | 50.52 43.73–57.30 42.06–58.97 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 375–546 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.92 62.89–70.95 61.60–72.24 | 73.57 69.25–77.90 67.94–79.21 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.61 8.18–15.37 | 11.24 8.30–14.19 7.55–14.94 | 23.02 17.24–28.80 15.73–30.31 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.18 0.93–5.43 0.34–6.02 | 51% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.82 2.26–5.38 1.84–5.80 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.42 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+