Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.922.42safe0.53–2.470.06–1.770.59–4.24safer0.28–2.720.00–2.000.11–4.72
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.568.40safe2.97–6.691.82–5.314.79–12.00safer2.48–7.181.36–5.773.84–12.96
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4510.9126.36safe11.53–19.387.35–14.4718.88–33.85safer10.44–20.476.39–15.4316.83–35.90
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.226.6615.88safe6.28–12.163.98–9.3410.26–21.51safer5.45–12.993.24–10.088.69–23.07
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.596.52safe2.05–5.820.93–4.242.99–10.06safer1.51–6.360.44–4.731.95–11.09
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.0010.15safe3.94–8.372.00–6.005.94–14.37safer3.37–8.941.46–6.534.83–15.47
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.2944.54safe48.50–62.0837.75–51.32safer46.83–63.7536.08–52.99
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction448340788safe381–515274–406654–922safer363–534256–424619–958
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction66.4565.69safe62.42–70.4861.36–70.01safer61.13–71.7760.06–71.32
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2015.3828.58safe10.36–16.0412.43–18.3222.80–34.36safer9.61–16.8011.68–19.0721.29–35.87
Offsides
42%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.793.73safe0.78–3.100.70–2.881.48–5.98safer0.48–3.400.41–3.170.89–6.57
Yellow cards
27%
18%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.774.74safe0.92–3.021.64–3.902.56–6.92safer0.65–3.281.35–4.192.00–7.47
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
30%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.075.43safe0.93–3.801.51–4.632.44–8.42safer0.54–4.191.09–5.051.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 51% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 3.56 1.82–5.31 1.36–5.77 | 8.40 4.79–12.00 3.84–12.96 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.45 11.53–19.38 10.44–20.47 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 26.36 18.88–33.85 16.83–35.90 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.08 | 15.88 10.26–21.51 8.69–23.07 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.05–5.82 1.51–6.36 | 2.59 0.93–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 6.52 2.99–10.06 1.95–11.09 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 4.00 2.00–6.00 1.46–6.53 | 10.15 5.94–14.37 4.83–15.47 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 55.29 48.50–62.08 46.83–63.75 | 44.54 37.75–51.32 36.08–52.99 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–534 | 340 274–406 256–424 | 788 654–922 619–958 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.45 62.42–70.48 61.13–71.77 | 65.69 61.36–70.01 60.06–71.32 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 13.20 10.36–16.04 9.61–16.80 | 15.38 12.43–18.32 11.68–19.07 | 28.58 22.80–34.36 21.29–35.87 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 2.77 1.64–3.90 1.35–4.19 | 4.74 2.56–6.92 2.00–7.47 | 27% 18% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.07 1.51–4.63 1.09–5.05 | 5.43 2.44–8.42 1.63–9.24 | 30% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+