Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction0.832.393.22safe0.00–1.801.53–3.241.40–5.04safer0.00–2.051.31–3.470.92–5.52
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.856.189.02safe0.98–4.714.44–7.925.42–12.63safer0.49–5.203.97–8.394.46–13.58
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1016.2825.38safe5.18–13.0312.72–19.8417.89–32.87safer4.09–14.1211.76–20.8015.84–34.92
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.4411.5717.01safe2.50–8.398.89–14.2511.39–22.64safer1.67–9.218.15–14.999.82–24.20
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.445.097.53safe0.56–4.323.44–6.743.99–11.06safer0.01–4.862.94–7.242.96–12.10
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.786.3210.10safe1.57–5.994.32–8.325.88–14.31safer0.99–6.573.79–8.854.78–15.42
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction36.0064.54safe29.21–42.7957.76–71.33safer27.54–44.4656.09–73.00
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction312562873safe245–379495–628740–1007safer226–397478–646704–1043
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction60.8780.62safe56.84–64.9076.29–84.94safer55.55–66.1974.98–86.25
Fouls
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6511.1326.78safe12.81–18.498.18–14.0721.00–32.56safer12.06–19.247.43–14.8219.49–34.06
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.563.12safe0.40–2.720.46–2.650.86–5.37safer0.10–3.020.18–2.940.27–5.96
Yellow cards
58%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.413.72safe1.26–3.360.28–2.531.54–5.90safer1.00–3.630.00–2.830.98–6.45
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.280.00–0.59safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.176.21safe2.60–5.470.62–3.733.22–9.20safer2.21–5.860.19–4.152.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.83 0.00–1.80 0.00–2.05 | 2.39 1.53–3.24 1.31–3.47 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 17% 72% |
| Shots on target | 2.85 0.98–4.71 0.49–5.20 | 6.18 4.44–7.92 3.97–8.39 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 83% |
| Total shots | 9.10 5.18–13.03 4.09–14.12 | 16.28 12.72–19.84 11.76–20.80 | 25.38 17.89–32.87 15.84–34.92 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 5.44 2.50–8.39 1.67–9.21 | 11.57 8.89–14.25 8.15–14.99 | 17.01 11.39–22.64 9.82–24.20 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 2.44 0.56–4.32 0.01–4.86 | 5.09 3.44–6.74 2.94–7.24 | 7.53 3.99–11.06 2.96–12.10 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.78 1.57–5.99 0.99–6.57 | 6.32 4.32–8.32 3.79–8.85 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 36.00 29.21–42.79 27.54–44.46 | 64.54 57.76–71.33 56.09–73.00 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 312 245–379 226–397 | 562 495–628 478–646 | 873 740–1007 704–1043 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.87 56.84–64.90 55.55–66.19 | 80.62 76.29–84.94 74.98–86.25 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 15.65 12.81–18.49 12.06–19.24 | 11.13 8.18–14.07 7.43–14.82 | 26.78 21.00–32.56 19.49–34.06 | 78% 16% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.31 1.26–3.36 1.00–3.63 | 1.41 0.28–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 58% 20% 23% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.60–5.47 2.21–5.86 | 2.17 0.62–3.73 0.19–4.15 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 71% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.