Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.222.46safe0.27–2.210.37–2.080.64–4.29safer0.02–2.460.14–2.310.16–4.77
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.228.44safe2.36–6.082.48–5.974.84–12.05safer1.87–6.572.02–6.433.88–13.00
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5112.6625.17safe8.58–16.439.10–16.2317.68–32.66safer7.49–17.528.14–17.1915.63–34.71
Shots in box
48%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.017.6615.67safe5.07–10.964.98–10.3410.05–21.30safer4.24–11.794.24–11.088.48–22.86
Blocked shots
42%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.386.73safe1.47–5.231.72–5.033.19–10.26safer0.93–5.781.23–5.522.16–11.30
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.455.0810.53safe3.23–7.663.08–7.086.31–14.74safer2.66–8.242.55–7.615.21–15.85
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction49.8350.24safe43.04–56.6243.46–57.03safer41.37–58.2941.79–58.70
Passes
49%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction416417834safe349–483351–484700–967safer331–502333–501664–1003
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction63.0169.69safe58.98–67.0465.36–74.01safer57.69–68.3364.05–75.32
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9513.9226.87safe10.11–15.7910.98–16.8721.09–32.66safer9.36–16.5410.23–17.6219.59–34.16
Offsides
46%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.513.35safe0.68–3.000.42–2.601.10–5.61safer0.38–3.310.13–2.890.51–6.20
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.204.30safe1.05–3.151.07–3.332.12–6.48safer0.79–3.420.78–3.621.57–7.04
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.140.24safe0.00–0.260.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.410.00–0.460.00–0.87
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.765.67safe1.48–4.351.20–4.322.68–8.66safer1.09–4.730.78–4.741.87–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.46 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.08 1.87–6.57 | 4.22 2.48–5.97 2.02–6.43 | 8.44 4.84–12.05 3.88–13.00 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.51 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 12.66 9.10–16.23 8.14–17.19 | 25.17 17.68–32.66 15.63–34.71 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.07–10.96 4.24–11.79 | 7.66 4.98–10.34 4.24–11.08 | 15.67 10.05–21.30 8.48–22.86 | 48% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.47–5.23 0.93–5.78 | 3.38 1.72–5.03 1.23–5.52 | 6.73 3.19–10.26 2.16–11.30 | 42% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.24 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.61 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.83 43.04–56.62 41.37–58.29 | 50.24 43.46–57.03 41.79–58.70 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 416 349–483 331–502 | 417 351–484 333–501 | 834 700–967 664–1003 | 49% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.01 58.98–67.04 57.69–68.33 | 69.69 65.36–74.01 64.05–75.32 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.11–15.79 9.36–16.54 | 13.92 10.98–16.87 10.23–17.62 | 26.87 21.09–32.66 19.59–34.16 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 46% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.79–3.42 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.30 2.12–6.48 1.57–7.04 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.47 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.