Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.062.86safe0.83–2.770.20–1.911.04–4.68safer0.58–3.020.00–2.140.56–5.16
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.749.10safe3.49–7.222.00–5.485.49–12.70safer3.00–7.711.53–5.954.54–13.66
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1610.5225.68safe11.24–19.096.96–14.0918.20–33.17safer10.14–20.186.00–15.0516.15–35.22
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.736.8116.54safe6.79–12.674.13–9.4910.92–22.17safer5.96–13.503.39–10.239.35–23.73
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.566.54safe2.10–5.870.91–4.213.01–10.08safer1.56–6.410.41–4.701.97–11.12
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.144.0310.17safe3.93–8.352.03–6.035.95–14.38safer3.35–8.931.49–6.564.85–15.49
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.9148.67safe45.12–58.7041.88–55.45safer43.45–60.3740.21–57.12
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction427402830safe360–495336–469696–963safer342–513318–486660–999
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction68.6469.13safe64.61–72.6764.81–73.45safer63.32–73.9663.50–74.76
Fouls
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6617.5031.16safe10.83–16.5014.55–20.4425.38–36.94safer10.07–17.2613.80–21.1923.87–38.45
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.523.24safe0.56–2.880.43–2.620.99–5.49safer0.26–3.180.14–2.900.40–6.08
Yellow cards
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.163.205.36safe1.11–3.212.07–4.333.18–7.54safer0.84–3.471.78–4.622.62–8.10
Red cards
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.170.31safe0.00–0.290.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.490.00–0.94
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.566.02safe1.02–3.902.01–5.123.03–9.01safer0.64–4.281.58–5.542.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.10 5.49–12.70 4.54–13.66 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.16 11.24–19.09 10.14–20.18 | 10.52 6.96–14.09 6.00–15.05 | 25.68 18.20–33.17 16.15–35.22 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 9.73 6.79–12.67 5.96–13.50 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 16.54 10.92–22.17 9.35–23.73 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 2.56 0.91–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.54 3.01–10.08 1.97–11.12 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.49–6.56 | 10.17 5.95–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.91 45.12–58.70 43.45–60.37 | 48.67 41.88–55.45 40.21–57.12 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 830 696–963 660–999 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.64 64.61–72.67 63.32–73.96 | 69.13 64.81–73.45 63.50–74.76 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 13.66 10.83–16.50 10.07–17.26 | 17.50 14.55–20.44 13.80–21.19 | 31.16 25.38–36.94 23.87–38.45 | 22% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.84–3.47 | 3.20 2.07–4.33 1.78–4.62 | 5.36 3.18–7.54 2.62–8.10 | 25% 16% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.31 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.94 | 75% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.90 0.64–4.28 | 3.56 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.