Premier League·Regular Season - 18·
Premier League·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.092.68safe0.62–2.560.24–1.950.86–4.50safer0.37–2.810.01–2.170.38–4.98
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.033.978.99safe3.16–6.892.23–5.715.39–12.60safer2.67–7.381.76–6.184.43–13.56
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2111.4025.61safe10.29–18.147.84–14.9618.12–33.10safer9.19–19.236.88–15.9216.07–35.15
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.137.5516.67safe6.18–12.074.86–10.2311.05–22.29safer5.35–12.904.13–10.969.48–23.86
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.066.75safe1.82–5.581.40–4.713.22–10.29safer1.27–6.120.91–5.202.18–11.33
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.069.09safe2.81–7.242.06–6.064.87–13.30safer2.24–7.811.53–6.603.77–14.41
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.5646.42safe46.77–60.3539.63–53.20safer45.10–62.0237.96–54.87
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction456388843safe388–523321–454710–977safer370–541304–472674–1013
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction75.2473.45safe71.21–79.2769.13–77.78safer69.92–80.5667.82–79.09
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2815.6730.95safe12.44–18.1112.73–18.6225.17–36.73safer11.68–18.8711.98–19.3723.66–38.24
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.083.94safe0.69–3.010.99–3.171.68–6.19safer0.39–3.310.70–3.461.09–6.78
Yellow cards
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.065.49safe1.38–3.481.94–4.193.32–7.67safer1.11–3.751.64–4.492.76–8.23
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.130.27safe0.00–0.300.00–0.320.00–0.62safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.90
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.386.24safe1.43–4.301.82–4.933.25–9.23safer1.04–4.691.40–5.362.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 49% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.03 3.16–6.89 2.67–7.38 | 3.97 2.23–5.71 1.76–6.18 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.56 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.29–18.14 9.19–19.23 | 11.40 7.84–14.96 6.88–15.92 | 25.61 18.12–33.10 16.07–35.15 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.13 6.18–12.07 5.35–12.90 | 7.55 4.86–10.23 4.13–10.96 | 16.67 11.05–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 6.75 3.22–10.29 2.18–11.33 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.81 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.60 | 9.09 4.87–13.30 3.77–14.41 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 53.56 46.77–60.35 45.10–62.02 | 46.42 39.63–53.20 37.96–54.87 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 456 388–523 370–541 | 388 321–454 304–472 | 843 710–977 674–1013 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.24 71.21–79.27 69.92–80.56 | 73.45 69.13–77.78 67.82–79.09 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 15.28 12.44–18.11 11.68–18.87 | 15.67 12.73–18.62 11.98–19.37 | 30.95 25.17–36.73 23.66–38.24 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.08 0.99–3.17 0.70–3.46 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.43 1.38–3.48 1.11–3.75 | 3.06 1.94–4.19 1.64–4.49 | 5.49 3.32–7.67 2.76–8.23 | 31% 17% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.