Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.623.03safe1.45–3.380.00–1.471.21–4.86safer1.20–3.640.00–1.700.73–5.34
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.982.419.40safe5.12–8.850.67–4.165.79–13.00safer4.63–9.340.20–4.624.84–13.96
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.537.4927.02safe15.61–23.463.93–11.0519.53–34.51safer14.52–24.552.97–12.0117.48–36.56
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.214.5317.74safe10.27–16.161.85–7.2112.12–23.37safer9.44–16.991.11–7.9510.55–24.93
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.581.847.42safe3.70–7.460.19–3.493.89–10.96safer3.15–8.010.00–3.992.85–11.99
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.253.2011.45safe6.04–10.461.20–5.207.24–15.66safer5.46–11.040.67–5.736.13–16.77
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.8133.43safe60.02–73.6026.64–40.21safer58.35–75.2724.97–41.88
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction596291887safe529–664224–357754–1021safer511–682207–375718–1057
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction80.7665.81safe76.73–84.7861.49–70.14safer75.43–86.0860.18–71.45
Fouls
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7016.0226.72safe7.87–13.5413.07–18.9620.94–32.51safer7.11–14.3012.33–19.7119.44–34.01
Offsides
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.433.42safe0.83–3.150.34–2.521.16–5.67safer0.53–3.450.05–2.810.57–6.26
Yellow cards
15%
16%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.894.26safe0.31–2.411.77–4.022.08–6.44safer0.05–2.681.47–4.311.52–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.140.21safe0.00–0.230.00–0.330.00–0.56safer0.00–0.380.00–0.460.00–0.84
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.834.456.28safe0.39–3.262.89–6.013.28–9.27safer0.00–3.652.47–6.432.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.38 1.20–3.64 | 0.62 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.70 | 3.03 1.21–4.86 0.73–5.34 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.98 5.12–8.85 4.63–9.34 | 2.41 0.67–4.16 0.20–4.62 | 9.40 5.79–13.00 4.84–13.96 | 91% |
| Total shots | 19.53 15.61–23.46 14.52–24.55 | 7.49 3.93–11.05 2.97–12.01 | 27.02 19.53–34.51 17.48–36.56 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.21 10.27–16.16 9.44–16.99 | 4.53 1.85–7.21 1.11–7.95 | 17.74 12.12–23.37 10.55–24.93 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.58 3.70–7.46 3.15–8.01 | 1.84 0.19–3.49 0.00–3.99 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.25 6.04–10.46 5.46–11.04 | 3.20 1.20–5.20 0.67–5.73 | 11.45 7.24–15.66 6.13–16.77 | 92% |
| Possession % | 66.81 60.02–73.60 58.35–75.27 | 33.43 26.64–40.21 24.97–41.88 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 596 529–664 511–682 | 291 224–357 207–375 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.76 76.73–84.78 75.43–86.08 | 65.81 61.49–70.14 60.18–71.45 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 16.02 13.07–18.96 12.33–19.71 | 26.72 20.94–32.51 19.44–34.01 | 83% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.05–2.68 | 2.89 1.77–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 4.26 2.08–6.44 1.52–6.99 | 15% 16% 69% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.26 0.00–3.65 | 4.45 2.89–6.01 2.47–6.43 | 6.28 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.