Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.700.932.63safe0.73–2.670.08–1.790.81–4.46safer0.48–2.920.00–2.010.33–4.94
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.183.208.39safe3.32–7.051.46–4.944.78–11.99safer2.83–7.540.99–5.413.83–12.95
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.069.9024.96safe11.14–18.986.33–13.4617.47–32.44safer10.04–20.085.37–14.4215.42–34.49
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.096.1316.22safe7.15–13.033.45–8.8110.60–21.85safer6.32–13.862.71–9.559.03–23.41
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.402.476.87safe2.51–6.280.82–4.123.33–10.40safer1.97–6.820.32–4.612.30–11.44
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.7710.19safe4.21–8.641.77–5.775.98–14.40safer3.64–9.211.23–6.304.87–15.51
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.7945.11safe48.00–61.5838.32–51.89safer46.33–63.2536.65–53.56
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction452364816safe385–519298–430682–950safer367–537280–448647–985
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction68.6666.32safe64.63–72.6962.00–70.64safer63.34–73.9860.69–71.95
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1716.4629.62safe10.33–16.0113.51–19.4023.84–35.41safer9.58–16.7612.76–20.1522.34–36.91
Offsides
41%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.402.94safe0.38–2.700.31–2.490.69–5.19safer0.08–3.000.02–2.780.10–5.78
Yellow cards
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.714.38safe0.62–2.721.59–3.842.20–6.56safer0.35–2.981.29–4.131.64–7.12
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.565.73safe0.74–3.612.01–5.122.74–8.73safer0.35–4.001.58–5.541.93–9.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 0.93 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.01 | 2.63 0.81–4.46 0.33–4.94 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.18 3.32–7.05 2.83–7.54 | 3.20 1.46–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 8.39 4.78–11.99 3.83–12.95 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.06 11.14–18.98 10.04–20.08 | 9.90 6.33–13.46 5.37–14.42 | 24.96 17.47–32.44 15.42–34.49 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 6.13 3.45–8.81 2.71–9.55 | 16.22 10.60–21.85 9.03–23.41 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.40 2.51–6.28 1.97–6.82 | 2.47 0.82–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 6.87 3.33–10.40 2.30–11.44 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.23–6.30 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.79 48.00–61.58 46.33–63.25 | 45.11 38.32–51.89 36.65–53.56 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 364 298–430 280–448 | 816 682–950 647–985 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.66 64.63–72.69 63.34–73.98 | 66.32 62.00–70.64 60.69–71.95 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.01 9.58–16.76 | 16.46 13.51–19.40 12.76–20.15 | 29.62 23.84–35.41 22.34–36.91 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 2.94 0.69–5.19 0.10–5.78 | 41% 25% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.71 1.59–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.64–7.12 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.56 2.01–5.12 1.58–5.54 | 5.73 2.74–8.73 1.93–9.54 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.