Premier League·Regular Season - 19·
Premier League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
27%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.440.832.27safe0.47–2.410.00–1.680.45–4.09safer0.22–2.660.00–1.910.00–4.57
Shots on target
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.077.75safe2.82–6.551.33–4.814.15–11.36safer2.33–7.040.86–5.283.19–12.31
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.079.3424.41safe11.14–18.995.78–12.9116.92–31.90safer10.05–20.084.82–13.8714.87–33.95
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.325.7215.04safe6.38–12.263.04–8.409.42–20.66safer5.55–13.092.30–9.147.85–22.23
Blocked shots
67%
14%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.852.266.11safe1.97–5.730.61–3.922.58–9.65safer1.42–6.280.12–4.411.54–10.68
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.203.459.64safe3.98–8.411.45–5.455.43–13.86safer3.41–8.980.91–5.984.32–14.97
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction53.7746.03safe46.98–60.5639.24–52.81safer45.31–62.2337.57–54.48
Passes
71%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction417349765safe349–484282–415632–899safer331–502265–433596–935
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction63.5863.85safe59.55–67.6159.53–68.18safer58.26–68.9058.22–69.49
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1715.4928.66safe10.33–16.0012.55–18.4422.87–34.44safer9.57–16.7611.80–19.1821.37–35.94
Offsides
46%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.833.98safe0.99–3.310.74–2.921.73–6.23safer0.69–3.610.45–3.211.14–6.82
Yellow cards
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.714.76safe1.00–3.101.58–3.842.59–6.94safer0.74–3.371.29–4.132.03–7.50
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.150.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.005.09safe0.66–3.531.44–4.552.10–8.08safer0.27–3.921.02–4.981.29–8.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.27 0.45–4.09 0.00–4.57 | 52% 27% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.55 2.33–7.04 | 3.07 1.33–4.81 0.86–5.28 | 7.75 4.15–11.36 3.19–12.31 | 65% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.07 11.14–18.99 10.05–20.08 | 9.34 5.78–12.91 4.82–13.87 | 24.41 16.92–31.90 14.87–33.95 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.26 5.55–13.09 | 5.72 3.04–8.40 2.30–9.14 | 15.04 9.42–20.66 7.85–22.23 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.42–6.28 | 2.26 0.61–3.92 0.12–4.41 | 6.11 2.58–9.65 1.54–10.68 | 67% 14% 20% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 3.45 1.45–5.45 0.91–5.98 | 9.64 5.43–13.86 4.32–14.97 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 53.77 46.98–60.56 45.31–62.23 | 46.03 39.24–52.81 37.57–54.48 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 417 349–484 331–502 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 765 632–899 596–935 | 71% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.58 59.55–67.61 58.26–68.90 | 63.85 59.53–68.18 58.22–69.49 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 15.49 12.55–18.44 11.80–19.18 | 28.66 22.87–34.44 21.37–35.94 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.98 1.73–6.23 1.14–6.82 | 46% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.76 2.59–6.94 2.03–7.50 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.09 0.66–3.53 0.27–3.92 | 3.00 1.44–4.55 1.02–4.98 | 5.09 2.10–8.08 1.29–8.90 | 26% 17% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.