Premier League·Regular Season - 19·
Premier League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.772.96safe1.22–3.160.00–1.621.14–4.78safer0.97–3.410.00–1.850.66–5.26
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.493.179.66safe4.62–8.351.43–4.916.05–13.26safer4.13–8.840.96–5.385.10–14.22
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.089.7926.87safe13.16–21.006.23–13.3619.39–34.36safer12.06–22.105.27–14.3117.33–36.41
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction11.746.0117.76safe8.80–14.693.33–8.6912.13–23.38safer7.97–15.522.59–9.4310.57–24.95
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.262.676.93safe2.38–6.141.02–4.333.40–10.47safer1.83–6.680.53–4.822.36–11.50
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.339.58safe4.04–8.461.33–5.335.36–13.79safer3.46–9.040.80–5.864.26–14.90
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.9337.87safe56.14–69.7231.09–44.66safer54.47–71.3929.41–46.33
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction560318878safe493–628251–384744–1012safer475–646234–402709–1047
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction77.8868.19safe73.85–81.9163.87–72.52safer72.56–83.2062.56–73.83
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0415.6628.70safe10.21–15.8812.72–18.6122.92–34.48safer9.45–16.6411.97–19.3521.42–35.99
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.813.86safe0.89–3.210.72–2.901.60–6.11safer0.59–3.510.43–3.191.02–6.70
Yellow cards
24%
16%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.053.155.20safe1.00–3.102.02–4.283.03–7.38safer0.74–3.371.73–4.572.47–7.94
Red cards
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.180.27safe0.00–0.250.00–0.360.00–0.61safer0.00–0.400.00–0.500.00–0.90
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.916.51safe1.16–4.032.35–5.473.52–9.50safer0.77–4.421.93–5.892.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.49 4.62–8.35 4.13–8.84 | 3.17 1.43–4.91 0.96–5.38 | 9.66 6.05–13.26 5.10–14.22 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.08 13.16–21.00 12.06–22.10 | 9.79 6.23–13.36 5.27–14.31 | 26.87 19.39–34.36 17.33–36.41 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.74 8.80–14.69 7.97–15.52 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 17.76 12.13–23.38 10.57–24.95 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 2.67 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 3.33 1.33–5.33 0.80–5.86 | 9.58 5.36–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 62.93 56.14–69.72 54.47–71.39 | 37.87 31.09–44.66 29.41–46.33 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 560 493–628 475–646 | 318 251–384 234–402 | 878 744–1012 709–1047 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.88 73.85–81.91 72.56–83.20 | 68.19 63.87–72.52 62.56–73.83 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 15.66 12.72–18.61 11.97–19.35 | 28.70 22.92–34.48 21.42–35.99 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.86 1.60–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 3.15 2.02–4.28 1.73–4.57 | 5.20 3.03–7.38 2.47–7.94 | 24% 16% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.50 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.91 2.35–5.47 1.93–5.89 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.