Premier League·Regular Season - 19·
Premier League·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.460.693.16safe1.49–3.430.00–1.551.33–4.98safer1.24–3.680.00–1.780.85–5.46
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.119.96safe4.98–8.711.37–4.866.35–13.56safer4.49–9.200.91–5.325.40–14.52
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction19.169.0328.19safe15.24–23.095.47–12.5920.71–35.68safer14.15–24.184.51–13.5518.66–37.73
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.175.2418.41safe10.22–16.112.56–7.9312.79–24.03safer9.40–16.941.83–8.6611.22–25.60
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.492.417.91safe3.61–7.370.76–4.074.37–11.44safer3.07–7.920.27–4.563.34–12.48
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.943.3411.27safe5.72–10.151.34–5.347.06–15.49safer5.15–10.720.80–5.875.95–16.60
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.4032.84safe60.61–74.1926.05–39.62safer58.94–75.8624.38–41.29
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction573258831safe505–640192–325697–964safer487–658174–342661–1000
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction80.1865.91safe76.15–84.2161.58–70.23safer74.86–85.5060.27–71.54
Fouls
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1016.9328.03safe8.26–13.9413.98–19.8722.25–33.81safer7.51–14.6913.24–20.6220.74–35.31
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.503.22safe0.56–2.880.41–2.600.97–5.48safer0.26–3.180.12–2.890.38–6.07
Yellow cards
17%
16%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.452.914.36safe0.40–2.501.78–4.042.18–6.54safer0.14–2.771.49–4.331.62–7.09
Red cards
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.170.24safe0.00–0.230.00–0.360.00–0.59safer0.00–0.380.00–0.490.00–0.87
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.236.38safe0.72–3.602.67–5.783.39–9.38safer0.34–3.982.24–6.212.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.46 1.49–3.43 1.24–3.68 | 0.69 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 3.16 1.33–4.98 0.85–5.46 | 76% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.98–8.71 4.49–9.20 | 3.11 1.37–4.86 0.91–5.32 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 85% |
| Total shots | 19.16 15.24–23.09 14.15–24.18 | 9.03 5.47–12.59 4.51–13.55 | 28.19 20.71–35.68 18.66–37.73 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.17 10.22–16.11 9.40–16.94 | 5.24 2.56–7.93 1.83–8.66 | 18.41 12.79–24.03 11.22–25.60 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.49 3.61–7.37 3.07–7.92 | 2.41 0.76–4.07 0.27–4.56 | 7.91 4.37–11.44 3.34–12.48 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.94 5.72–10.15 5.15–10.72 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.80–5.87 | 11.27 7.06–15.49 5.95–16.60 | 89% |
| Possession % | 67.40 60.61–74.19 58.94–75.86 | 32.84 26.05–39.62 24.38–41.29 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 573 505–640 487–658 | 258 192–325 174–342 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.18 76.15–84.21 74.86–85.50 | 65.91 61.58–70.23 60.27–71.54 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 16.93 13.98–19.87 13.24–20.62 | 28.03 22.25–33.81 20.74–35.31 | 84% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.50 0.41–2.60 0.12–2.89 | 3.22 0.97–5.48 0.38–6.07 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 2.91 1.78–4.04 1.49–4.33 | 4.36 2.18–6.54 1.62–7.09 | 17% 16% 67% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.60 0.34–3.98 | 4.23 2.67–5.78 2.24–6.21 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+