Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.013.18safe1.20–3.140.16–1.871.36–5.00safer0.95–3.390.00–2.090.88–5.48
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.453.269.71safe4.59–8.321.52–5.006.11–13.32safer4.10–8.811.05–5.475.15–14.27
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.629.3927.01safe13.70–21.555.82–12.9519.52–34.50safer12.60–22.644.87–13.9117.47–36.55
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.086.1517.23safe8.14–14.033.47–8.8311.61–22.86safer7.31–14.862.73–9.5710.04–24.42
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.521.826.35safe2.64–6.410.17–3.482.81–9.88safer2.10–6.950.00–3.971.78–10.92
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.073.539.60safe3.86–8.291.53–5.535.39–13.82safer3.29–8.860.99–6.064.28–14.92
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.9743.27safe51.18–64.7636.49–50.06safer49.51–66.4334.82–51.73
Passes
86%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction517385901safe449–584318–451768–1035safer431–602301–469732–1071
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction74.4167.50safe70.38–78.4463.17–71.82safer69.09–79.7461.86–73.13
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9815.3027.28safe9.15–14.8212.35–18.2421.50–33.06safer8.39–15.5811.61–18.9919.99–34.57
Offsides
18%
15%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.713.244.96safe0.55–2.882.15–4.332.70–7.21safer0.25–3.181.86–4.622.11–7.80
Yellow cards
21%
17%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.794.43safe0.59–2.691.66–3.922.25–6.61safer0.32–2.951.37–4.211.69–7.16
Red cards
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.170.25safe0.00–0.240.00–0.360.00–0.60safer0.00–0.390.00–0.490.00–0.88
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.226.38safe0.73–3.602.66–5.773.39–9.37safer0.34–3.992.24–6.202.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 64% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.45 4.59–8.32 4.10–8.81 | 3.26 1.52–5.00 1.05–5.47 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 81% |
| Total shots | 17.62 13.70–21.55 12.60–22.64 | 9.39 5.82–12.95 4.87–13.91 | 27.01 19.52–34.50 17.47–36.55 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.08 8.14–14.03 7.31–14.86 | 6.15 3.47–8.83 2.73–9.57 | 17.23 11.61–22.86 10.04–24.42 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 1.82 0.17–3.48 0.00–3.97 | 6.35 2.81–9.88 1.78–10.92 | 81% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 3.53 1.53–5.53 0.99–6.06 | 9.60 5.39–13.82 4.28–14.92 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.97 51.18–64.76 49.51–66.43 | 43.27 36.49–50.06 34.82–51.73 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 517 449–584 431–602 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 901 768–1035 732–1071 | 86% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.41 70.38–78.44 69.09–79.74 | 67.50 63.17–71.82 61.86–73.13 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.15–14.82 8.39–15.58 | 15.30 12.35–18.24 11.61–18.99 | 27.28 21.50–33.06 19.99–34.57 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.88 0.25–3.18 | 3.24 2.15–4.33 1.86–4.62 | 4.96 2.70–7.21 2.11–7.80 | 18% 15% 68% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 4.43 2.25–6.61 1.69–7.16 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.73–3.60 0.34–3.99 | 4.22 2.66–5.77 2.24–6.20 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.