Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
29%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.172.19safe0.05–1.990.32–2.030.37–4.01safer0.00–2.240.09–2.250.00–4.49
Shots on target
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.887.44safe1.69–5.422.14–5.633.84–11.05safer1.20–5.911.68–6.092.88–12.00
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1012.6623.75safe7.17–15.029.09–16.2216.27–31.24safer6.08–16.118.13–17.1814.22–33.29
Shots in box
35%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction6.707.6214.32safe3.76–9.654.94–10.308.70–19.94safer2.93–10.474.20–11.047.13–21.51
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.276.28safe1.12–4.881.62–4.932.74–9.81safer0.58–5.431.13–5.421.71–10.85
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.949.80safe2.64–7.072.94–6.945.59–14.02safer2.07–7.642.41–7.484.48–15.12
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.8345.19safe48.04–61.6238.40–51.97safer46.37–63.2936.73–53.64
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction446356803safe379–513290–423669–936safer361–532272–440633–972
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction62.1165.19safe58.08–66.1460.87–69.52safer56.79–67.4359.56–70.83
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2915.6128.90safe10.45–16.1312.66–18.5523.11–34.68safer9.70–16.8811.91–19.3021.61–36.18
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.783.15safe0.21–2.530.69–2.880.90–5.41safer0.00–2.830.40–3.170.31–5.99
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.052.334.38safe1.00–3.101.20–3.462.20–6.56safer0.73–3.370.91–3.751.65–7.12
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.320.00–0.60safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.455.26safe1.37–4.250.90–4.012.27–8.25safer0.99–4.630.47–4.431.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 2.19 0.37–4.01 0.00–4.49 | 32% 29% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.69–5.42 1.20–5.91 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 7.44 3.84–11.05 2.88–12.00 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.10 7.17–15.02 6.08–16.11 | 12.66 9.09–16.22 8.13–17.18 | 23.75 16.27–31.24 14.22–33.29 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 6.70 3.76–9.65 2.93–10.47 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 14.32 8.70–19.94 7.13–21.51 | 35% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.88 0.58–5.43 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.28 2.74–9.81 1.71–10.85 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.64–7.07 2.07–7.64 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.48 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.12 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 54.83 48.04–61.62 46.37–63.29 | 45.19 38.40–51.97 36.73–53.64 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–532 | 356 290–423 272–440 | 803 669–936 633–972 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.11 58.08–66.14 56.79–67.43 | 65.19 60.87–69.52 59.56–70.83 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.13 9.70–16.88 | 15.61 12.66–18.55 11.91–19.30 | 28.90 23.11–34.68 21.61–36.18 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–5.99 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.37 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.38 2.20–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.25 0.99–4.63 | 2.45 0.90–4.01 0.47–4.43 | 5.26 2.27–8.25 1.46–9.07 | 47% 18% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.