Premier League·Regular Season - 20·
Premier League·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.012.90safe0.92–2.850.16–1.871.07–4.72safer0.67–3.110.00–2.090.59–5.20
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.259.12safe4.00–7.731.51–4.995.51–12.72safer3.51–8.221.04–5.464.55–13.68
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction15.589.7525.32safe11.65–19.506.19–13.3117.84–32.81safer10.56–20.595.23–14.2715.79–34.86
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.935.7615.69safe6.99–12.873.08–8.4410.06–21.31safer6.16–13.702.34–9.188.50–22.88
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.736.92safe2.30–6.071.08–4.393.38–10.45safer1.76–6.610.59–4.882.35–11.49
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.739.97safe4.03–8.461.73–5.735.76–14.19safer3.45–9.031.20–6.274.65–15.29
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction58.2141.14safe51.42–65.0034.35–47.92safer49.75–66.6732.68–49.60
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction485333818safe418–552266–399684–951safer400–570249–417648–987
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction73.6868.62safe69.65–77.7064.29–72.94safer68.35–79.0062.98–74.25
Fouls
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7715.2430.02safe11.94–17.6112.30–18.1924.24–35.80safer11.18–18.3711.55–18.9422.73–37.31
Offsides
46%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.393.14safe0.60–2.920.29–2.480.89–5.40safer0.30–3.220.01–2.770.30–5.99
Yellow cards
27%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.794.75safe0.91–3.001.67–3.922.57–6.93safer0.64–3.271.37–4.212.01–7.48
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
21%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.373.806.17safe0.93–3.802.24–5.363.17–9.16safer0.54–4.191.82–5.782.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.89 0.92–2.85 0.67–3.11 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.87 4.00–7.73 3.51–8.22 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.68 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 15.58 11.65–19.50 10.56–20.59 | 9.75 6.19–13.31 5.23–14.27 | 25.32 17.84–32.81 15.79–34.86 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 9.93 6.99–12.87 6.16–13.70 | 5.76 3.08–8.44 2.34–9.18 | 15.69 10.06–21.31 8.50–22.88 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.73 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.46 3.45–9.03 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.20–6.27 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 58.21 51.42–65.00 49.75–66.67 | 41.14 34.35–47.92 32.68–49.60 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 485 418–552 400–570 | 333 266–399 249–417 | 818 684–951 648–987 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.68 69.65–77.70 68.35–79.00 | 68.62 64.29–72.94 62.98–74.25 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 14.77 11.94–17.61 11.18–18.37 | 15.24 12.30–18.19 11.55–18.94 | 30.02 24.24–35.80 22.73–37.31 | 43% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.14 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 46% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.91–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.79 1.67–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 4.75 2.57–6.93 2.01–7.48 | 27% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.37 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.80 2.24–5.36 1.82–5.78 | 6.17 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 21% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+