Premier League·Regular Season - 21·
Premier League·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.052.53safe0.51–2.450.20–1.900.71–4.35safer0.26–2.700.00–2.130.23–4.83
Shots on target
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.498.32safe2.96–6.691.75–5.244.71–11.92safer2.47–7.181.28–5.703.76–12.88
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3210.7226.04safe11.40–19.257.15–14.2818.55–33.53safer10.31–20.346.20–15.2416.50–35.58
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.366.3515.71safe6.42–12.303.67–9.0310.08–21.33safer5.59–13.132.93–9.778.52–22.90
Blocked shots
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.776.16safe1.51–5.271.12–4.422.63–9.70safer0.97–5.820.62–4.911.59–10.73
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.209.36safe2.95–7.382.20–6.205.15–13.58safer2.38–7.951.67–6.734.04–14.68
Possession %
50%
46%
homeawayprediction50.6049.76safe43.81–57.3942.98–56.55safer42.14–59.0641.30–58.22
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction393375768safe326–460309–442635–902safer308–478291–459599–938
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction61.3364.05safe57.30–65.3659.73–68.37safer56.01–66.6558.42–69.68
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8114.9830.79safe12.97–18.6512.03–17.9225.00–36.57safer12.22–19.4011.28–18.6723.50–38.07
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.393.58safe1.03–3.350.30–2.491.33–5.84safer0.73–3.650.01–2.770.74–6.43
Yellow cards
31%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.704.84safe1.10–3.201.57–3.822.67–7.02safer0.83–3.461.28–4.122.11–7.58
Red cards
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.180.28safe0.00–0.260.00–0.370.00–0.63safer0.00–0.410.00–0.500.00–0.91
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.375.87safe1.05–3.931.82–4.932.87–8.86safer0.67–4.311.39–5.362.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 3.49 1.75–5.24 1.28–5.70 | 8.32 4.71–11.92 3.76–12.88 | 61% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.32 11.40–19.25 10.31–20.34 | 10.72 7.15–14.28 6.20–15.24 | 26.04 18.55–33.53 16.50–35.58 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.36 6.42–12.30 5.59–13.13 | 6.35 3.67–9.03 2.93–9.77 | 15.71 10.08–21.33 8.52–22.90 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.97–5.82 | 2.77 1.12–4.42 0.62–4.91 | 6.16 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.73 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.38 2.38–7.95 | 4.20 2.20–6.20 1.67–6.73 | 9.36 5.15–13.58 4.04–14.68 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.60 43.81–57.39 42.14–59.06 | 49.76 42.98–56.55 41.30–58.22 | — | 50% 46% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 308–478 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 768 635–902 599–938 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.33 57.30–65.36 56.01–66.65 | 64.05 59.73–68.37 58.42–69.68 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 15.81 12.97–18.65 12.22–19.40 | 14.98 12.03–17.92 11.28–18.67 | 30.79 25.00–36.57 23.50–38.07 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 1.39 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.77 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.83–3.46 | 2.70 1.57–3.82 1.28–4.12 | 4.84 2.67–7.02 2.11–7.58 | 31% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% 15% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.93 0.67–4.31 | 3.37 1.82–4.93 1.39–5.36 | 5.87 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+