Predicted match statistics
Goals
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.670.743.40safe1.70–3.640.00–1.591.58–5.23safer1.45–3.890.00–1.821.10–5.71
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.342.639.97safe5.48–9.200.89–4.386.37–13.58safer4.99–9.690.43–4.845.41–14.53
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.428.2627.68safe15.49–23.344.70–11.8220.19–35.16safer14.40–24.433.74–12.7818.14–37.21
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.095.0018.09safe10.15–16.032.32–7.6912.47–23.72safer9.32–16.861.59–8.4210.90–25.28
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.522.117.63safe3.64–7.400.46–3.774.10–11.17safer3.09–7.950.00–4.263.06–12.20
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.883.3411.22safe5.66–10.091.34–5.347.00–15.43safer5.09–10.660.81–5.875.89–16.54
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.8935.99safe57.10–70.6829.21–42.78safer55.43–72.3527.53–44.45
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction566318884safe499–633251–384750–1017safer480–651234–402714–1053
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction80.9569.16safe76.92–84.9864.84–73.48safer75.63–86.2763.53–74.79
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0816.1527.22safe8.24–13.9213.20–19.0921.44–33.01safer7.48–14.6712.45–19.8419.94–34.51
Offsides
50%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.473.45safe0.82–3.140.37–2.561.20–5.70safer0.52–3.440.09–2.850.61–6.29
Yellow cards
18%
16%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.894.42safe0.48–2.581.76–4.022.25–6.60safer0.22–2.851.47–4.311.69–7.16
Red cards
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.180.25safe0.00–0.230.00–0.370.00–0.60safer0.00–0.380.00–0.500.00–0.88
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.954.266.21safe0.52–3.392.70–5.813.22–9.20safer0.13–3.782.27–6.242.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.67 1.70–3.64 1.45–3.89 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.40 1.58–5.23 1.10–5.71 | 78% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.34 5.48–9.20 4.99–9.69 | 2.63 0.89–4.38 0.43–4.84 | 9.97 6.37–13.58 5.41–14.53 | 91% |
| Total shots | 19.42 15.49–23.34 14.40–24.43 | 8.26 4.70–11.82 3.74–12.78 | 27.68 20.19–35.16 18.14–37.21 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.09 10.15–16.03 9.32–16.86 | 5.00 2.32–7.69 1.59–8.42 | 18.09 12.47–23.72 10.90–25.28 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.52 3.64–7.40 3.09–7.95 | 2.11 0.46–3.77 0.00–4.26 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.88 5.66–10.09 5.09–10.66 | 3.34 1.34–5.34 0.81–5.87 | 11.22 7.00–15.43 5.89–16.54 | 89% |
| Possession % | 63.89 57.10–70.68 55.43–72.35 | 35.99 29.21–42.78 27.53–44.45 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 566 499–633 480–651 | 318 251–384 234–402 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 80.95 76.92–84.98 75.63–86.27 | 69.16 64.84–73.48 63.53–74.79 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.48–14.67 | 16.15 13.20–19.09 12.45–19.84 | 27.22 21.44–33.01 19.94–34.51 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.09–2.85 | 3.45 1.20–5.70 0.61–6.29 | 50% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.89 1.76–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 18% 16% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.18 0.00–0.37 0.00–0.50 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 16% |
| GK saves | 1.95 0.52–3.39 0.13–3.78 | 4.26 2.70–5.81 2.27–6.24 | 6.21 3.22–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+