Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.760.852.61safe0.79–2.730.00–1.710.79–4.44safer0.54–2.980.00–1.940.31–4.92
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.443.348.78safe3.58–7.311.60–5.085.18–12.39safer3.09–7.791.13–5.554.22–13.34
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9510.2726.22safe12.02–19.876.71–13.8318.73–33.71safer10.93–20.965.75–14.7916.68–35.76
Shots in box
80%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.136.2016.33safe7.19–13.073.52–8.8810.71–21.96safer6.36–13.902.79–9.629.14–23.52
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.242.416.64safe2.35–6.120.75–4.063.11–10.18safer1.81–6.660.26–4.552.07–11.21
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.703.8910.59safe4.49–8.911.88–5.896.37–14.80safer3.91–9.491.35–6.425.27–15.91
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.4042.68safe50.61–64.1935.89–49.46safer48.94–65.8634.22–51.13
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction458342800safe391–525276–409666–934safer372–543258–426631–969
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction68.9364.82safe64.90–72.9660.50–69.15safer63.61–74.2559.19–70.45
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0117.3029.32safe9.18–14.8514.36–20.2523.53–35.10safer8.42–15.6113.61–21.0022.03–36.60
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.493.41safe0.76–3.080.40–2.581.16–5.67safer0.46–3.390.11–2.870.57–6.26
Yellow cards
22%
17%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.764.44safe0.63–2.731.63–3.892.26–6.62safer0.36–2.991.34–4.181.70–7.17
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.150.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.263.425.68safe0.83–3.701.86–4.972.69–8.67safer0.44–4.091.44–5.401.88–9.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.94 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 59% 23% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.79 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.95 12.02–19.87 10.93–20.96 | 10.27 6.71–13.83 5.75–14.79 | 26.22 18.73–33.71 16.68–35.76 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.13 7.19–13.07 6.36–13.90 | 6.20 3.52–8.88 2.79–9.62 | 16.33 10.71–21.96 9.14–23.52 | 80% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.24 2.35–6.12 1.81–6.66 | 2.41 0.75–4.06 0.26–4.55 | 6.64 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.21 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 6.70 4.49–8.91 3.91–9.49 | 3.89 1.88–5.89 1.35–6.42 | 10.59 6.37–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 57.40 50.61–64.19 48.94–65.86 | 42.68 35.89–49.46 34.22–51.13 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 372–543 | 342 276–409 258–426 | 800 666–934 631–969 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.93 64.90–72.96 63.61–74.25 | 64.82 60.50–69.15 59.19–70.45 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.18–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 17.30 14.36–20.25 13.61–21.00 | 29.32 23.53–35.10 22.03–36.60 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.39 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.41 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 2.76 1.63–3.89 1.34–4.18 | 4.44 2.26–6.62 1.70–7.17 | 22% 17% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.42 1.86–4.97 1.44–5.40 | 5.68 2.69–8.67 1.88–9.49 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.