Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.352.67safe0.34–2.280.50–2.210.84–4.49safer0.09–2.530.27–2.440.36–4.97
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.594.018.61safe2.73–6.462.27–5.765.00–12.21safer2.24–6.951.81–6.224.05–13.17
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3711.4525.81safe10.44–18.297.88–15.0118.33–33.30safer9.35–19.386.92–15.9716.28–35.35
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.547.1315.66safe5.59–11.484.45–9.8110.04–21.29safer4.76–12.313.71–10.558.47–22.85
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.896.47safe1.70–5.461.24–4.542.93–10.00safer1.16–6.010.74–5.031.90–11.04
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.299.64safe3.13–7.562.29–6.295.42–13.85safer2.56–8.131.76–6.824.32–14.96
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction50.0551.63safe43.26–56.8444.85–58.42safer41.59–58.5143.18–60.09
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction417419837safe350–485353–486703–970safer332–503335–503667–1006
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction66.4569.58safe62.42–70.4865.25–73.90safer61.13–71.7763.94–75.21
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5614.9429.50safe11.72–17.3912.00–17.8923.72–35.28safer10.96–18.1511.25–18.6422.21–36.79
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.993.73safe0.58–2.900.89–3.081.48–5.98safer0.28–3.200.60–3.370.89–6.57
Yellow cards
33%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.795.09safe1.25–3.351.66–3.922.92–7.27safer0.99–3.621.37–4.212.36–7.83
Red cards
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.160.32safe0.00–0.320.00–0.350.00–0.66safer0.00–0.470.00–0.480.00–0.95
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.236.10safe1.44–4.311.68–4.793.11–9.10safer1.05–4.691.25–5.212.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.35 0.50–2.21 0.27–2.44 | 2.67 0.84–4.49 0.36–4.97 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.59 2.73–6.46 2.24–6.95 | 4.01 2.27–5.76 1.81–6.22 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.37 10.44–18.29 9.35–19.38 | 11.45 7.88–15.01 6.92–15.97 | 25.81 18.33–33.30 16.28–35.35 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.59–11.48 4.76–12.31 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 15.66 10.04–21.29 8.47–22.85 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.46 1.16–6.01 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.47 2.93–10.00 1.90–11.04 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 9.64 5.42–13.85 4.32–14.96 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 50.05 43.26–56.84 41.59–58.51 | 51.63 44.85–58.42 43.18–60.09 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 417 350–485 332–503 | 419 353–486 335–503 | 837 703–970 667–1006 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.45 62.42–70.48 61.13–71.77 | 69.58 65.25–73.90 63.94–75.21 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 14.56 11.72–17.39 10.96–18.15 | 14.94 12.00–17.89 11.25–18.64 | 29.50 23.72–35.28 22.21–36.79 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.60–3.37 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.79 1.66–3.92 1.37–4.21 | 5.09 2.92–7.27 2.36–7.83 | 33% 18% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.32 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.95 | 75% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.23 1.68–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+