Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.092.82safe0.76–2.700.24–1.951.00–4.64safer0.51–2.950.01–2.170.52–5.12
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.328.56safe3.37–7.101.58–5.064.95–12.16safer2.88–7.591.11–5.534.00–13.12
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.039.1024.13safe11.11–18.965.53–12.6616.64–31.62safer10.02–20.054.57–13.6214.59–33.67
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.346.1015.44safe6.40–12.283.41–8.789.81–21.06safer5.57–13.112.68–9.518.25–22.63
Blocked shots
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.872.246.11safe1.99–5.750.59–3.892.57–9.64safer1.44–6.290.10–4.391.54–10.68
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.583.609.18safe3.37–7.791.60–5.604.97–13.39safer2.79–8.371.07–6.133.86–14.50
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.9636.85safe57.17–70.7530.06–43.63safer55.50–72.4228.39–45.30
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction550285835safe483–617219–351701–968safer464–635201–369665–1004
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction72.2261.05safe68.19–76.2556.73–65.38safer66.89–77.5455.42–66.68
Fouls
15%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0716.0227.09safe8.23–13.9113.08–18.9621.31–32.87safer7.48–14.6612.33–19.7119.80–34.38
Offsides
15%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.573.324.89safe0.41–2.732.23–4.412.64–7.14safer0.11–3.031.94–4.702.05–7.73
Yellow cards
18%
15%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.713.224.93safe0.66–2.762.09–4.352.75–7.11safer0.40–3.031.80–4.642.19–7.67
Red cards
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.160.26safe0.00–0.250.00–0.350.00–0.60safer0.00–0.400.00–0.480.00–0.89
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.395.52safe0.69–3.561.84–4.952.53–8.51safer0.30–3.951.41–5.381.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.37–7.10 2.88–7.59 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.11–18.96 10.02–20.05 | 9.10 5.53–12.66 4.57–13.62 | 24.13 16.64–31.62 14.59–33.67 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 6.10 3.41–8.78 2.68–9.51 | 15.44 9.81–21.06 8.25–22.63 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.75 1.44–6.29 | 2.24 0.59–3.89 0.10–4.39 | 6.11 2.57–9.64 1.54–10.68 | 67% 13% 19% |
| Corners | 5.58 3.37–7.79 2.79–8.37 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.13 | 9.18 4.97–13.39 3.86–14.50 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 63.96 57.17–70.75 55.50–72.42 | 36.85 30.06–43.63 28.39–45.30 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 550 483–617 464–635 | 285 219–351 201–369 | 835 701–968 665–1004 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.22 68.19–76.25 66.89–77.54 | 61.05 56.73–65.38 55.42–66.68 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.07 8.23–13.91 7.48–14.66 | 16.02 13.08–18.96 12.33–19.71 | 27.09 21.31–32.87 19.80–34.38 | 15% 80% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 3.32 2.23–4.41 1.94–4.70 | 4.89 2.64–7.14 2.05–7.73 | 15% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 3.22 2.09–4.35 1.80–4.64 | 4.93 2.75–7.11 2.19–7.67 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.35 0.00–0.48 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.39 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.38 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.