Premier League·Regular Season - 22·
Premier League·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.860.872.73safe0.89–2.820.01–1.720.90–4.55safer0.64–3.080.00–1.950.42–5.03
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.532.808.33safe3.67–7.401.06–4.544.73–11.94safer3.18–7.880.59–5.013.77–12.89
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction14.688.6923.37safe10.76–18.605.13–12.2615.89–30.86safer9.66–19.704.17–13.2213.84–32.91
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.675.5615.23safe6.73–12.612.87–8.249.60–20.85safer5.90–13.442.14–8.978.04–22.42
Blocked shots
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.102.276.37safe2.22–5.980.62–3.932.84–9.91safer1.67–6.520.13–4.421.80–10.94
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.133.319.43safe3.91–8.341.31–5.315.22–13.64safer3.34–8.910.77–5.844.11–14.75
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.8337.52safe56.04–69.6230.74–44.31safer54.37–71.2929.07–45.98
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction530308839safe463–598242–375705–973safer445–616224–392670–1008
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction73.0264.53safe68.99–77.0560.21–68.86safer67.70–78.3458.90–70.16
Fouls
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0416.2229.26safe10.20–15.8813.28–19.1723.48–35.05safer9.45–16.6312.53–19.9221.98–36.55
Offsides
49%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.573.60safe0.87–3.190.48–2.661.35–5.85safer0.57–3.490.19–2.950.76–6.44
Yellow cards
22%
16%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.014.84safe0.78–2.881.88–4.142.66–7.01safer0.51–3.141.59–4.432.10–7.57
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.26safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.89
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.083.445.53safe0.65–3.521.89–5.002.53–8.52safer0.26–3.911.46–5.421.72–9.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.82 0.64–3.08 | 0.87 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 61% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.88 | 2.80 1.06–4.54 0.59–5.01 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 78% |
| Total shots | 14.68 10.76–18.60 9.66–19.70 | 8.69 5.13–12.26 4.17–13.22 | 23.37 15.89–30.86 13.84–32.91 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 5.56 2.87–8.24 2.14–8.97 | 15.23 9.60–20.85 8.04–22.42 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 2.27 0.62–3.93 0.13–4.42 | 6.37 2.84–9.91 1.80–10.94 | 70% 17% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.77–5.84 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 62.83 56.04–69.62 54.37–71.29 | 37.52 30.74–44.31 29.07–45.98 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 530 463–598 445–616 | 308 242–375 224–392 | 839 705–973 670–1008 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.02 68.99–77.05 67.70–78.34 | 64.53 60.21–68.86 58.90–70.16 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.20–15.88 9.45–16.63 | 16.22 13.28–19.17 12.53–19.92 | 29.26 23.48–35.05 21.98–36.55 | 25% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.60 1.35–5.85 0.76–6.44 | 49% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 3.01 1.88–4.14 1.59–4.43 | 4.84 2.66–7.01 2.10–7.57 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.26 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.89 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.08 0.65–3.52 0.26–3.91 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 5.53 2.53–8.52 1.72–9.33 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.