Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
26%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.522.62safe0.13–2.070.67–2.380.80–4.45safer0.00–2.320.44–2.610.32–4.92
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.884.358.22safe2.01–5.742.60–6.094.62–11.83safer1.52–6.232.14–6.563.66–12.78
Total shots
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9814.3026.28safe8.05–15.9010.74–17.8718.79–33.77safer6.96–16.999.78–18.8216.74–35.82
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.178.1015.28safe4.23–10.125.42–10.789.65–20.90safer3.40–10.954.68–11.528.09–22.47
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.546.81safe1.39–5.151.89–5.193.27–10.34safer0.84–5.691.40–5.692.24–11.38
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.515.129.63safe2.30–6.723.12–7.125.42–13.85safer1.72–7.302.59–7.654.31–14.95
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction45.6853.94safe38.89–52.4747.15–60.72safer37.22–54.1445.48–62.39
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction351410760safe283–418343–476626–894safer265–436326–494591–930
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction61.0169.67safe56.98–65.0465.34–73.99safer55.69–66.3364.03–75.30
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5014.5029.00safe11.67–17.3411.55–17.4423.22–34.78safer10.91–18.1010.80–18.1921.71–36.29
Offsides
40%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.853.73safe0.72–3.040.75–2.941.47–5.98safer0.42–3.340.46–3.230.88–6.57
Yellow cards
43%
19%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.174.50safe1.28–3.381.05–3.302.33–6.68safer1.01–3.650.75–3.591.77–7.24
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.120.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.440.00–0.86
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.695.59safe1.47–4.341.13–4.242.60–8.59safer1.08–4.730.71–4.671.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.62 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.92 | 27% 26% 47% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.01–5.74 1.52–6.23 | 4.35 2.60–6.09 2.14–6.56 | 8.22 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.78 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.98 8.05–15.90 6.96–16.99 | 14.30 10.74–17.87 9.78–18.82 | 26.28 18.79–33.77 16.74–35.82 | 29% 64% |
| Shots in box | 7.17 4.23–10.12 3.40–10.95 | 8.10 5.42–10.78 4.68–11.52 | 15.28 9.65–20.90 8.09–22.47 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.40–5.69 | 6.81 3.27–10.34 2.24–11.38 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.51 2.30–6.72 1.72–7.30 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.65 | 9.63 5.42–13.85 4.31–14.95 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.68 38.89–52.47 37.22–54.14 | 53.94 47.15–60.72 45.48–62.39 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 351 283–418 265–436 | 410 343–476 326–494 | 760 626–894 591–930 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.01 56.98–65.04 55.69–66.33 | 69.67 65.34–73.99 64.03–75.30 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 14.50 11.67–17.34 10.91–18.10 | 14.50 11.55–17.44 10.80–18.19 | 29.00 23.22–34.78 21.71–36.29 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.85 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.33 1.28–3.38 1.01–3.65 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.50 2.33–6.68 1.77–7.24 | 43% 19% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.34 1.08–4.73 | 2.69 1.13–4.24 0.71–4.67 | 5.59 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+