Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.332.47safe0.18–2.110.47–2.180.65–4.29safer0.00–2.360.24–2.410.17–4.77
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.198.24safe2.19–5.922.45–5.934.64–11.85safer1.70–6.411.98–6.403.68–12.80
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1911.6923.88safe8.26–16.118.13–15.2516.39–31.36safer7.17–17.207.17–16.2114.34–33.42
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction7.757.3715.11safe4.81–10.694.68–10.059.49–20.74safer3.98–11.523.95–10.787.92–22.30
Blocked shots
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.296.21safe1.04–4.801.63–4.942.67–9.74safer0.49–5.341.14–5.431.64–10.78
Corners
39%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.374.719.07safe2.16–6.582.71–6.714.86–13.29safer1.58–7.162.17–7.243.75–14.40
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.0355.53safe37.24–50.8248.74–62.31safer35.57–52.4947.07–63.98
Passes
25%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction341421762safe274–409354–487629–896safer256–427337–505593–932
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction59.9867.97safe55.95–64.0163.64–72.29safer54.66–65.3062.33–73.60
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1814.0131.19safe14.35–20.0211.06–16.9525.41–36.97safer13.59–20.7810.31–17.7023.90–38.48
Offsides
48%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.313.07safe0.60–2.920.21–2.400.81–5.32safer0.30–3.220.00–2.690.23–5.91
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.402.324.72safe1.35–3.451.19–3.452.54–6.90safer1.09–3.720.90–3.741.98–7.46
Red cards
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.140.28safe0.00–0.300.00–0.330.00–0.63safer0.00–0.450.00–0.460.00–0.91
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.015.84safe1.39–4.271.45–4.572.85–8.83safer1.01–4.651.03–4.992.04–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.14 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 4.19 2.45–5.93 1.98–6.40 | 8.24 4.64–11.85 3.68–12.80 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 12.19 8.26–16.11 7.17–17.20 | 11.69 8.13–15.25 7.17–16.21 | 23.88 16.39–31.36 14.34–33.42 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 7.75 4.81–10.69 3.98–11.52 | 7.37 4.68–10.05 3.95–10.78 | 15.11 9.49–20.74 7.92–22.30 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 2.92 1.04–4.80 0.49–5.34 | 3.29 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 6.21 2.67–9.74 1.64–10.78 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Corners | 4.37 2.16–6.58 1.58–7.16 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.17–7.24 | 9.07 4.86–13.29 3.75–14.40 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Possession % | 44.03 37.24–50.82 35.57–52.49 | 55.53 48.74–62.31 47.07–63.98 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 341 274–409 256–427 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 762 629–896 593–932 | 25% 74% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.98 55.95–64.01 54.66–65.30 | 67.97 63.64–72.29 62.33–73.60 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 17.18 14.35–20.02 13.59–20.78 | 14.01 11.06–16.95 10.31–17.70 | 31.19 25.41–36.97 23.90–38.48 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.07 0.81–5.32 0.23–5.91 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 2.40 1.35–3.45 1.09–3.72 | 2.32 1.19–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 4.72 2.54–6.90 1.98–7.46 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.28 0.00–0.63 0.00–0.91 | 77% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 3.01 1.45–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.64 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+