Premier League·Regular Season - 25·
Premier League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.702.80safe1.13–3.070.00–1.560.98–4.62safer0.88–3.320.00–1.790.50–5.10
Shots on target
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.612.888.50safe3.75–7.471.14–4.634.89–12.10safer3.26–7.960.68–5.093.94–13.06
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.618.8824.49safe11.68–19.535.32–12.4417.00–31.98safer10.59–20.634.36–13.4014.95–34.03
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.435.7116.15safe7.49–13.373.03–8.3910.52–21.77safer6.66–14.202.30–9.138.95–23.34
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.042.436.46safe2.15–5.920.77–4.082.93–10.00safer1.61–6.460.28–4.571.89–11.03
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.933.599.52safe3.72–8.151.59–5.595.31–13.74safer3.15–8.721.06–6.124.20–14.84
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.3635.62safe58.57–72.1528.84–42.41safer56.90–73.8227.17–44.08
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction567284852safe500–635218–351718–985safer482–653200–368682–1021
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction77.2364.92safe73.20–81.2660.60–69.24safer71.91–82.5559.29–70.55
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5515.5528.10safe9.71–15.3912.61–18.5022.32–33.88safer8.96–16.1411.86–19.2520.82–35.39
Offsides
39%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.174.27safe0.93–3.251.08–3.272.02–6.52safer0.63–3.560.79–3.561.43–7.11
Yellow cards
23%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.993.165.15safe0.94–3.042.03–4.292.97–7.33safer0.68–3.311.74–4.582.41–7.89
Red cards
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.160.25safe0.00–0.260.00–0.340.00–0.60safer0.00–0.410.00–0.470.00–0.88
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.385.76safe0.94–3.811.83–4.942.77–8.75safer0.55–4.201.40–5.371.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 70% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.61 3.75–7.47 3.26–7.96 | 2.88 1.14–4.63 0.68–5.09 | 8.50 4.89–12.10 3.94–13.06 | 78% |
| Total shots | 15.61 11.68–19.53 10.59–20.63 | 8.88 5.32–12.44 4.36–13.40 | 24.49 17.00–31.98 14.95–34.03 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 5.71 3.03–8.39 2.30–9.13 | 16.15 10.52–21.77 8.95–23.34 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.15–5.92 1.61–6.46 | 2.43 0.77–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 6.46 2.93–10.00 1.89–11.03 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.72–8.15 3.15–8.72 | 3.59 1.59–5.59 1.06–6.12 | 9.52 5.31–13.74 4.20–14.84 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 65.36 58.57–72.15 56.90–73.82 | 35.62 28.84–42.41 27.17–44.08 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 567 500–635 482–653 | 284 218–351 200–368 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.23 73.20–81.26 71.91–82.55 | 64.92 60.60–69.24 59.29–70.55 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 15.55 12.61–18.50 11.86–19.25 | 28.10 22.32–33.88 20.82–35.39 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.56 | 2.17 1.08–3.27 0.79–3.56 | 4.27 2.02–6.52 1.43–7.11 | 39% 20% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 3.16 2.03–4.29 1.74–4.58 | 5.15 2.97–7.33 2.41–7.89 | 23% 16% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.94–3.81 0.55–4.20 | 3.38 1.83–4.94 1.40–5.37 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.96–9.57 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+