Premier League·Regular Season - 25·
Premier League·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.962.002.96safe0.00–1.931.15–2.851.14–4.78safer0.00–2.180.92–3.080.66–5.26
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.919.51safe1.74–5.464.17–7.655.90–13.11safer1.25–5.953.70–8.124.95–14.07
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2016.1226.32safe6.27–14.1212.56–19.6918.83–33.81safer5.18–15.2111.60–20.6416.78–35.86
Shots in box
13%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2310.2516.48safe3.29–9.177.57–12.9310.86–22.10safer2.46–10.006.83–13.679.29–23.67
Blocked shots
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.986.58safe0.72–4.492.33–5.633.05–10.12safer0.18–5.031.83–6.122.01–11.15
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.795.799.58safe1.58–6.013.79–7.795.37–13.79safer1.01–6.583.25–8.324.26–14.90
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.1460.47safe33.35–46.9353.68–67.25safer31.68–48.6052.01–68.92
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction330491821safe263–397424–557687–954safer244–415407–575651–990
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction62.5775.71safe58.54–66.6071.38–80.03safer57.25–67.8970.07–81.34
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5814.3430.92safe13.74–19.4211.39–17.2825.14–36.70safer12.99–20.1810.65–18.0323.63–38.21
Offsides
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.153.98safe0.67–2.991.06–3.241.72–6.23safer0.36–3.290.77–3.531.13–6.82
Yellow cards
48%
18%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.315.00safe1.64–3.741.18–3.442.82–7.18safer1.38–4.010.89–3.732.26–7.74
Red cards
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction0.200.110.31safe0.04–0.360.00–0.300.00–0.66safer0.00–0.510.00–0.430.00–0.94
GK saves
59%
15%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.712.626.33safe2.27–5.141.07–4.183.34–9.32safer1.88–5.530.64–4.612.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 2.00 1.15–2.85 0.92–3.08 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 17% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.74–5.46 1.25–5.95 | 5.91 4.17–7.65 3.70–8.12 | 9.51 5.90–13.11 4.95–14.07 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 10.20 6.27–14.12 5.18–15.21 | 16.12 12.56–19.69 11.60–20.64 | 26.32 18.83–33.81 16.78–35.86 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 6.23 3.29–9.17 2.46–10.00 | 10.25 7.57–12.93 6.83–13.67 | 16.48 10.86–22.10 9.29–23.67 | 13% 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.49 0.18–5.03 | 3.98 2.33–5.63 1.83–6.12 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 23% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 3.79 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 5.79 3.79–7.79 3.25–8.32 | 9.58 5.37–13.79 4.26–14.90 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 40.14 33.35–46.93 31.68–48.60 | 60.47 53.68–67.25 52.01–68.92 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 244–415 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 821 687–954 651–990 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.57 58.54–66.60 57.25–67.89 | 75.71 71.38–80.03 70.07–81.34 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 16.58 13.74–19.42 12.99–20.18 | 14.34 11.39–17.28 10.65–18.03 | 30.92 25.14–36.70 23.63–38.21 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.98 1.72–6.23 1.13–6.82 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.69 1.64–3.74 1.38–4.01 | 2.31 1.18–3.44 0.89–3.73 | 5.00 2.82–7.18 2.26–7.74 | 48% 18% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.20 0.04–0.36 0.00–0.51 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.31 0.00–0.66 0.00–0.94 | 16% 75% |
| GK saves | 3.71 2.27–5.14 1.88–5.53 | 2.62 1.07–4.18 0.64–4.61 | 6.33 3.34–9.32 2.53–10.14 | 59% 15% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+