Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.693.10safe0.44–2.380.83–2.541.28–4.92safer0.19–2.630.61–2.770.80–5.40
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.804.699.48safe2.94–6.662.94–6.435.88–13.09safer2.45–7.152.48–6.894.92–14.04
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0911.9025.98safe10.16–18.018.34–15.4618.50–33.47safer9.07–19.107.38–16.4216.45–35.52
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.498.2016.70safe5.55–11.435.52–10.8911.07–22.32safer4.72–12.264.79–11.629.51–23.89
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.823.237.05safe1.94–5.701.58–4.883.51–10.58safer1.39–6.241.08–5.372.48–11.62
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.489.24safe2.55–6.972.48–6.485.03–13.45safer1.97–7.551.95–7.013.92–14.56
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.2452.10safe41.45–55.0345.32–58.89safer39.78–56.7043.65–60.56
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction423463886safe356–490397–529752–1020safer337–508379–547717–1055
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction70.8476.26safe66.81–74.8771.94–80.59safer65.52–76.1670.63–81.90
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5612.6926.26safe10.73–16.409.75–15.6420.48–32.04safer9.97–17.169.00–16.3918.97–33.54
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.543.184.72safe0.38–2.702.09–4.282.47–6.98safer0.08–3.001.80–4.571.88–7.57
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.202.204.40safe1.15–3.251.07–3.332.23–6.58safer0.89–3.520.78–3.621.67–7.14
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.120.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.246.09safe1.42–4.291.68–4.803.10–9.09safer1.03–4.681.26–5.222.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.61–2.77 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.66 2.45–7.15 | 4.69 2.94–6.43 2.48–6.89 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 11.90 8.34–15.46 7.38–16.42 | 25.98 18.50–33.47 16.45–35.52 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.49 5.55–11.43 4.72–12.26 | 8.20 5.52–10.89 4.79–11.62 | 16.70 11.07–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.97 1.97–7.55 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.01 | 9.24 5.03–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 48.24 41.45–55.03 39.78–56.70 | 52.10 45.32–58.89 43.65–60.56 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 337–508 | 463 397–529 379–547 | 886 752–1020 717–1055 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.84 66.81–74.87 65.52–76.16 | 76.26 71.94–80.59 70.63–81.90 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 13.56 10.73–16.40 9.97–17.16 | 12.69 9.75–15.64 9.00–16.39 | 26.26 20.48–32.04 18.97–33.54 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 3.18 2.09–4.28 1.80–4.57 | 4.72 2.47–6.98 1.88–7.57 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 2.20 1.15–3.25 0.89–3.52 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.40 2.23–6.58 1.67–7.14 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 3.24 1.68–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+