Premier League·Regular Season - 30·
Premier League·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.002.49safe0.52–2.460.14–1.850.67–4.31safer0.27–2.710.00–2.080.19–4.79
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.538.33safe2.94–6.671.79–5.274.73–11.94safer2.45–7.161.32–5.743.77–12.89
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction14.909.9124.81safe10.97–18.826.35–13.4817.32–32.30safer9.88–19.915.39–14.4315.27–34.35
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.705.9815.68safe6.76–12.643.30–8.6610.05–21.30safer5.93–13.472.56–9.408.49–22.87
Blocked shots
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.556.40safe1.96–5.730.90–4.212.86–9.94safer1.42–6.270.41–4.701.83–10.97
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.8010.12safe4.11–8.541.80–5.805.91–14.34safer3.54–9.111.27–6.334.80–15.45
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9445.16safe48.15–61.7338.38–51.95safer46.48–63.4036.71–53.62
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction393321713safe326–460254–387580–847safer307–478237–405544–883
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction62.2362.57safe58.20–66.2658.25–66.89safer56.91–67.5556.94–68.20
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1415.4629.60safe11.30–16.9712.52–18.4123.82–35.38safer10.54–17.7311.77–19.1622.31–36.89
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.583.33safe0.59–2.910.49–2.671.07–5.58safer0.28–3.210.20–2.960.48–6.17
Yellow cards
36%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.414.59safe1.13–3.231.28–3.542.41–6.77safer0.87–3.500.99–3.831.85–7.33
Red cards
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.170.30safe0.00–0.290.00–0.360.00–0.65safer0.00–0.440.00–0.490.00–0.93
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.295.63safe0.91–3.781.73–4.842.64–8.62safer0.52–4.171.30–5.271.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 3.53 1.79–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 8.33 4.73–11.94 3.77–12.89 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.97–18.82 9.88–19.91 | 9.91 6.35–13.48 5.39–14.43 | 24.81 17.32–32.30 15.27–34.35 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.70 6.76–12.64 5.93–13.47 | 5.98 3.30–8.66 2.56–9.40 | 15.68 10.05–21.30 8.49–22.87 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 2.55 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 6.40 2.86–9.94 1.83–10.97 | 62% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.11–8.54 3.54–9.11 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.27–6.33 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.45 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 54.94 48.15–61.73 46.48–63.40 | 45.16 38.38–51.95 36.71–53.62 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 393 326–460 307–478 | 321 254–387 237–405 | 713 580–847 544–883 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.23 58.20–66.26 56.91–67.55 | 62.57 58.25–66.89 56.94–68.20 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 14.14 11.30–16.97 10.54–17.73 | 15.46 12.52–18.41 11.77–19.16 | 29.60 23.82–35.38 22.31–36.89 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.91 0.28–3.21 | 1.58 0.49–2.67 0.20–2.96 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.59 2.41–6.77 1.85–7.33 | 36% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.36 0.00–0.49 | 0.30 0.00–0.65 0.00–0.93 | 76% 14% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.29 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.27 | 5.63 2.64–8.62 1.83–9.44 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+