Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.660.713.36safe1.69–3.630.00–1.561.54–5.19safer1.44–3.880.00–1.791.06–5.67
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.242.499.73safe5.38–9.110.74–4.236.13–13.34safer4.89–9.600.28–4.695.17–14.29
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.427.0927.51safe16.49–24.343.53–10.6520.02–34.99safer15.40–25.432.57–11.6117.97–37.04
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.734.5518.28safe10.79–16.671.87–7.2312.66–23.90safer9.96–17.501.13–7.9711.09–25.47
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.692.017.70safe3.80–7.570.36–3.664.16–11.23safer3.26–8.110.00–4.153.12–12.27
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction8.053.0811.13safe5.84–10.261.08–5.086.92–15.35safer5.26–10.840.55–5.615.81–16.45
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.0633.39safe59.27–72.8526.61–40.18safer57.60–74.5224.94–41.85
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction608311918safe540–675244–377785–1052safer522–693227–395749–1088
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction81.5768.25safe77.54–85.6063.92–72.57safer76.25–86.8962.62–73.88
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7615.0525.81safe7.93–13.6012.10–17.9920.03–31.59safer7.17–14.3611.35–18.7418.52–33.10
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.392.96safe0.42–2.740.29–2.480.71–5.22safer0.11–3.040.01–2.770.12–5.81
Yellow cards
18%
19%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.162.333.49safe0.11–2.211.20–3.451.31–5.67safer0.00–2.480.91–3.750.75–6.22
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.140.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.360.00–0.460.00–0.82
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction1.794.626.41safe0.36–3.233.07–6.183.42–9.41safer0.00–3.622.64–6.602.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.66 1.69–3.63 1.44–3.88 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.36 1.54–5.19 1.06–5.67 | 79% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.24 5.38–9.11 4.89–9.60 | 2.49 0.74–4.23 0.28–4.69 | 9.73 6.13–13.34 5.17–14.29 | 92% |
| Total shots | 20.42 16.49–24.34 15.40–25.43 | 7.09 3.53–10.65 2.57–11.61 | 27.51 20.02–34.99 17.97–37.04 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.73 10.79–16.67 9.96–17.50 | 4.55 1.87–7.23 1.13–7.97 | 18.28 12.66–23.90 11.09–25.47 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.69 3.80–7.57 3.26–8.11 | 2.01 0.36–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.27 | 88% |
| Corners | 8.05 5.84–10.26 5.26–10.84 | 3.08 1.08–5.08 0.55–5.61 | 11.13 6.92–15.35 5.81–16.45 | 91% |
| Possession % | 66.06 59.27–72.85 57.60–74.52 | 33.39 26.61–40.18 24.94–41.85 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 608 540–675 522–693 | 311 244–377 227–395 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.57 77.54–85.60 76.25–86.89 | 68.25 63.92–72.57 62.62–73.88 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 15.05 12.10–17.99 11.35–18.74 | 25.81 20.03–31.59 18.52–33.10 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 2.96 0.71–5.22 0.12–5.81 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.16 0.11–2.21 0.00–2.48 | 2.33 1.20–3.45 0.91–3.75 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.75–6.22 | 18% 19% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.79 0.36–3.23 0.00–3.62 | 4.62 3.07–6.18 2.64–6.60 | 6.41 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+