Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.522.73safe0.25–2.180.66–2.370.91–4.55safer0.00–2.430.43–2.600.43–5.03
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.338.60safe2.40–6.132.59–6.084.99–12.20safer1.91–6.622.12–6.544.04–13.16
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7612.5826.33safe9.83–17.689.01–16.1418.85–33.82safer8.74–18.778.06–17.1016.80–35.87
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction7.708.2115.92safe4.76–10.655.53–10.8910.29–21.54safer3.93–11.484.79–11.638.73–23.11
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.736.29safe1.67–5.441.08–4.392.75–9.82safer1.13–5.980.59–4.881.72–10.86
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.5810.00safe3.21–7.642.58–6.585.79–14.22safer2.64–8.212.05–7.114.68–15.32
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.8348.95safe44.04–57.6242.16–55.73safer42.37–59.2940.49–57.40
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction408379787safe341–476312–445654–921safer323–494295–463618–957
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction65.4766.89safe61.44–69.5062.56–71.21safer60.15–70.7961.26–72.52
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5012.5924.10safe8.67–14.349.65–15.5418.31–29.88safer7.91–15.108.90–16.2916.81–31.38
Offsides
15%
16%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.884.23safe0.19–2.511.78–3.971.97–6.48safer0.00–2.811.50–4.261.38–7.07
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.174.29safe1.07–3.171.04–3.302.12–6.47safer0.80–3.440.75–3.591.56–7.03
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.955.79safe1.40–4.271.40–4.512.80–8.78safer1.01–4.660.97–4.931.98–9.59
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.73 0.91–4.55 0.43–5.03 | 30% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.13 1.91–6.62 | 4.33 2.59–6.08 2.12–6.54 | 8.60 4.99–12.20 4.04–13.16 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.83–17.68 8.74–18.77 | 12.58 9.01–16.14 8.06–17.10 | 26.33 18.85–33.82 16.80–35.87 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 7.70 4.76–10.65 3.93–11.48 | 8.21 5.53–10.89 4.79–11.63 | 15.92 10.29–21.54 8.73–23.11 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 2.73 1.08–4.39 0.59–4.88 | 6.29 2.75–9.82 1.72–10.86 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.64 2.64–8.21 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.05–7.11 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.32 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 50.83 44.04–57.62 42.37–59.29 | 48.95 42.16–55.73 40.49–57.40 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 408 341–476 323–494 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 787 654–921 618–957 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.47 61.44–69.50 60.15–70.79 | 66.89 62.56–71.21 61.26–72.52 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.67–14.34 7.91–15.10 | 12.59 9.65–15.54 8.90–16.29 | 24.10 18.31–29.88 16.81–31.38 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.88 1.78–3.97 1.50–4.26 | 4.23 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 15% 16% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.80–3.44 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.29 2.12–6.47 1.56–7.03 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.79 2.80–8.78 1.98–9.59 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.