Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.342.77safe0.46–2.400.48–2.190.95–4.59safer0.21–2.650.25–2.420.47–5.07
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.968.39safe2.57–6.302.22–5.704.79–12.00safer2.08–6.791.75–6.173.83–12.95
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4311.7424.17safe8.51–16.368.17–15.3016.68–31.65safer7.41–17.457.21–16.2614.63–33.71
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.147.9616.10safe5.19–11.085.28–10.6410.47–21.72safer4.36–11.914.54–11.388.91–23.29
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.106.74safe1.76–5.531.44–4.753.21–10.28safer1.22–6.070.95–5.242.17–11.31
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.185.1610.34safe2.97–7.393.16–7.166.13–14.55safer2.39–7.972.63–7.695.02–15.66
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction51.8750.47safe45.08–58.6643.68–57.25safer43.41–60.3342.01–58.92
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction445414860safe378–512348–481726–993safer360–530331–498690–1029
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction70.4471.64safe66.41–74.4767.32–75.97safer65.12–75.7766.01–77.28
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6410.3422.97safe9.80–15.477.39–13.2817.19–28.76safer9.04–16.236.64–14.0315.69–30.26
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.473.01safe0.38–2.700.37–2.560.76–5.26safer0.08–3.000.08–2.850.17–5.85
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.803.72safe0.87–2.970.67–2.931.54–5.90safer0.60–3.230.38–3.220.98–6.46
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.742.985.72safe1.30–4.171.42–4.542.73–8.71safer0.91–4.561.00–4.961.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.30 2.08–6.79 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 12.43 8.51–16.36 7.41–17.45 | 11.74 8.17–15.30 7.21–16.26 | 24.17 16.68–31.65 14.63–33.71 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.19–11.08 4.36–11.91 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.54–11.38 | 16.10 10.47–21.72 8.91–23.29 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 3.10 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.74 3.21–10.28 2.17–11.31 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.39 2.39–7.97 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.69 | 10.34 6.13–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 51.87 45.08–58.66 43.41–60.33 | 50.47 43.68–57.25 42.01–58.92 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–530 | 414 348–481 331–498 | 860 726–993 690–1029 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.44 66.41–74.47 65.12–75.77 | 71.64 67.32–75.97 66.01–77.28 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.80–15.47 9.04–16.23 | 10.34 7.39–13.28 6.64–14.03 | 22.97 17.19–28.76 15.69–30.26 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.01 0.76–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.46 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.17 0.91–4.56 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+