Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.432.68safe0.28–2.210.58–2.290.86–4.50safer0.03–2.470.35–2.520.38–4.98
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.967.86safe2.04–5.762.22–5.714.26–11.47safer1.55–6.251.76–6.173.30–12.42
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5811.2222.80safe7.65–15.507.66–14.7815.31–30.28safer6.56–16.596.70–15.7413.26–32.33
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction6.957.9814.94safe4.01–9.905.30–10.669.31–20.56safer3.18–10.734.57–11.407.75–22.13
Blocked shots
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.895.95safe1.18–4.941.23–4.542.41–9.48safer0.64–5.490.74–5.031.38–10.52
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.069.68safe2.41–6.833.06–7.065.47–13.90safer1.83–7.412.53–7.604.36–15.00
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.2050.43safe43.41–56.9943.65–57.21safer41.74–58.6641.97–58.89
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction460430890safe392–527364–497756–1024safer374–545346–514721–1059
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction65.5970.00safe61.56–69.6265.68–74.32safer60.27–70.9164.37–75.63
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0811.9922.08safe7.25–12.929.05–14.9416.30–27.86safer6.49–13.688.30–15.6914.79–29.37
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.153.78safe0.47–2.791.06–3.241.52–6.03safer0.17–3.090.77–3.530.93–6.62
Yellow cards
36%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.134.07safe0.89–2.991.00–3.251.89–6.25safer0.63–3.260.71–3.551.33–6.80
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
39%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.735.33safe1.17–4.041.17–4.282.34–8.32safer0.78–4.430.74–4.711.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.47 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.90 2.04–5.76 1.55–6.25 | 3.96 2.22–5.71 1.76–6.17 | 7.86 4.26–11.47 3.30–12.42 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.58 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 11.22 7.66–14.78 6.70–15.74 | 22.80 15.31–30.28 13.26–32.33 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 6.95 4.01–9.90 3.18–10.73 | 7.98 5.30–10.66 4.57–11.40 | 14.94 9.31–20.56 7.75–22.13 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.06 1.18–4.94 0.64–5.49 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 5.95 2.41–9.48 1.38–10.52 | 44% 17% 39% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.83 1.83–7.41 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.60 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.00 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 50.20 43.41–56.99 41.74–58.66 | 50.43 43.65–57.21 41.97–58.89 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 460 392–527 374–545 | 430 364–497 346–514 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.59 61.56–69.62 60.27–70.91 | 70.00 65.68–74.32 64.37–75.63 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.25–12.92 6.49–13.68 | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.69 | 22.08 16.30–27.86 14.79–29.37 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.71–3.55 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 36% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 2.73 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.71 | 5.33 2.34–8.32 1.53–9.14 | 39% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+