Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·
Bundesliga·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.322.58safe0.29–2.230.47–2.180.76–4.40safer0.04–2.480.24–2.410.28–4.88
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.498.59safe2.24–5.962.75–6.234.99–12.20safer1.75–6.452.28–6.704.03–13.15
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5413.5227.06safe9.62–17.479.96–17.0819.58–34.55safer8.53–18.569.00–18.0417.53–36.60
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.458.3716.82safe5.50–11.395.69–11.0511.19–22.44safer4.67–12.224.95–11.799.63–24.01
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.643.937.57safe1.76–5.522.28–5.584.03–11.10safer1.21–6.061.78–6.073.00–12.14
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.1610.51safe3.13–7.553.16–7.166.29–14.72safer2.55–8.132.63–7.705.18–15.83
Possession %
45%
51%
homeawayprediction49.5650.79safe42.77–56.3544.00–57.57safer41.10–58.0242.33–59.24
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction390409798safe323–457342–475665–932safer304–475325–493629–968
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction66.9571.51safe62.92–70.9867.19–75.84safer61.63–72.2765.88–77.14
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2413.4823.71safe7.40–13.0710.53–16.4217.93–29.50safer6.64–13.839.78–17.1716.43–31.00
Offsides
45%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.513.32safe0.64–2.960.42–2.611.06–5.57safer0.34–3.270.13–2.890.47–6.16
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.224.06safe0.79–2.891.09–3.351.88–6.24safer0.52–3.150.80–3.641.32–6.79
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.130.24safe0.00–0.270.00–0.320.00–0.59safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
45%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.946.09safe1.72–4.591.38–4.503.10–9.08safer1.33–4.980.96–4.922.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 35% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.96 1.75–6.45 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.54 9.62–17.47 8.53–18.56 | 13.52 9.96–17.08 9.00–18.04 | 27.06 19.58–34.55 17.53–36.60 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.45 5.50–11.39 4.67–12.22 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 16.82 11.19–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 3.93 2.28–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 7.57 4.03–11.10 3.00–12.14 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 5.16 3.16–7.16 2.63–7.70 | 10.51 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.83 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 49.56 42.77–56.35 41.10–58.02 | 50.79 44.00–57.57 42.33–59.24 | — | 45% 51% |
| Passes | 390 323–457 304–475 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 798 665–932 629–968 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.95 62.92–70.98 61.63–72.27 | 71.51 67.19–75.84 65.88–77.14 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.24 7.40–13.07 6.64–13.83 | 13.48 10.53–16.42 9.78–17.17 | 23.71 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.27 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.89 | 3.32 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 45% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.90 | 45% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.